{
  "version": "1.0",
  "site": "Bookie Bullies",
  "site_url": "https://www.bookiebullies.com",
  "author": {
    "name": "MarcDuck",
    "url": "https://www.bookiebullies.com/about/marcduck/"
  },
  "license": "Free to consume + cite. Attribution required: 'MarcDuck of Bookie Bullies'.",
  "documentation": "https://www.bookiebullies.com/methodology.html",
  "date": "2026-05-16",
  "generated_at": "2026-05-16T01:03:08.070799+00:00",
  "n_games": 15,
  "track_record_url": "https://www.bookiebullies.com/track-record.html",
  "games": [
    {
      "sport": "MLB",
      "event_id": "401815366",
      "away": "TOR",
      "home": "DET",
      "pick": "DET",
      "model_margin_runs": 1.03,
      "predicted_total": 6.63,
      "moneyline_raw": "",
      "market_ou": null,
      "market_spread": null,
      "confidence": "toss-up",
      "venue": "Comerica Park",
      "status": "5/16 - 1:10 PM EDT",
      "drivers": [
        "sp_era"
      ]
    },
    {
      "sport": "MLB",
      "event_id": "401815368",
      "away": "KC",
      "home": "STL",
      "pick": "KC",
      "model_margin_runs": -0.58,
      "predicted_total": 8.91,
      "moneyline_raw": "STL -118",
      "market_ou": 9.0,
      "market_spread": 1.5,
      "confidence": "low",
      "venue": "Busch Stadium",
      "status": "5/16 - 2:15 PM EDT",
      "drivers": []
    },
    {
      "sport": "MLB",
      "event_id": "401815371",
      "away": "ARI",
      "home": "COL",
      "pick": "ARI",
      "model_margin_runs": -0.88,
      "predicted_total": 10.56,
      "moneyline_raw": "ARI -143",
      "market_ou": 11.5,
      "market_spread": 1.5,
      "confidence": "confident",
      "venue": "Coors Field",
      "status": "5/16 - 3:10 PM EDT",
      "drivers": [
        "weather",
        "park",
        "recent_form",
        "framing"
      ]
    },
    {
      "sport": "MLB",
      "event_id": "401815360",
      "away": "BAL",
      "home": "WSH",
      "pick": "BAL",
      "model_margin_runs": -1.53,
      "predicted_total": 11.12,
      "moneyline_raw": "WSH -110",
      "market_ou": 10.0,
      "market_spread": 1.5,
      "confidence": "very-confident",
      "venue": "Nationals Park",
      "status": "5/16 - 4:05 PM EDT",
      "drivers": [
        "weather",
        "platoon",
        "framing"
      ]
    },
    {
      "sport": "MLB",
      "event_id": "401815365",
      "away": "PHI",
      "home": "PIT",
      "pick": "PHI",
      "model_margin_runs": -1.5,
      "predicted_total": 7.52,
      "moneyline_raw": "PHI -171",
      "market_ou": 8.0,
      "market_spread": 1.5,
      "confidence": "very-confident",
      "venue": "PNC Park",
      "status": "5/16 - 4:05 PM EDT",
      "drivers": [
        "sp_era",
        "platoon",
        "framing"
      ]
    },
    {
      "sport": "MLB",
      "event_id": "401815363",
      "away": "MIA",
      "home": "TB",
      "pick": "TB",
      "model_margin_runs": 1.93,
      "predicted_total": 7.9,
      "moneyline_raw": "TB -136",
      "market_ou": 7.5,
      "market_spread": -1.5,
      "confidence": "very-confident",
      "venue": "Tropicana Field",
      "status": "5/16 - 4:10 PM EDT",
      "drivers": [
        "team_run_diff",
        "weather",
        "park",
        "recent_form",
        "platoon",
        "framing"
      ]
    },
    {
      "sport": "MLB",
      "event_id": "401815362",
      "away": "CIN",
      "home": "CLE",
      "pick": "CLE",
      "model_margin_runs": 1.45,
      "predicted_total": 7.01,
      "moneyline_raw": "CLE -181",
      "market_ou": 8.0,
      "market_spread": -1.5,
      "confidence": "confident",
      "venue": "Progressive Field",
      "status": "5/16 - 6:10 PM EDT",
      "drivers": [
        "sp_era",
        "team_run_diff",
        "recent_form"
      ]
    },
    {
      "sport": "MLB",
      "event_id": "401815367",
      "away": "CHC",
      "home": "CHW",
      "pick": "CHC",
      "model_margin_runs": -0.97,
      "predicted_total": 8.18,
      "moneyline_raw": "CHW -110",
      "market_ou": 8.5,
      "market_spread": 1.5,
      "confidence": "confident",
      "venue": "Rate Field",
      "status": "5/16 - 7:10 PM EDT",
      "drivers": [
        "team_run_diff",
        "platoon",
        "framing"
      ]
    },
    {
      "sport": "MLB",
      "event_id": "401815369",
      "away": "MIL",
      "home": "MIN",
      "pick": "MIL",
      "model_margin_runs": -1.18,
      "predicted_total": 8.49,
      "moneyline_raw": "MIL -126",
      "market_ou": 8.5,
      "market_spread": 1.5,
      "confidence": "confident",
      "venue": "Target Field",
      "status": "5/16 - 7:10 PM EDT",
      "drivers": [
        "team_run_diff",
        "weather",
        "platoon",
        "framing"
      ]
    },
    {
      "sport": "MLB",
      "event_id": "401815370",
      "away": "TEX",
      "home": "HOU",
      "pick": "TEX",
      "model_margin_runs": -0.97,
      "predicted_total": 6.32,
      "moneyline_raw": "TEX -143",
      "market_ou": 7.5,
      "market_spread": 1.5,
      "confidence": "confident",
      "venue": "Daikin Park",
      "status": "5/16 - 7:10 PM EDT",
      "drivers": [
        "team_run_diff",
        "weather",
        "recent_form",
        "tto"
      ]
    },
    {
      "sport": "MLB",
      "event_id": "401815361",
      "away": "BOS",
      "home": "ATL",
      "pick": "ATL",
      "model_margin_runs": 2.06,
      "predicted_total": 7.28,
      "moneyline_raw": "ATL -143",
      "market_ou": 8.0,
      "market_spread": -1.5,
      "confidence": "very-confident",
      "venue": "Truist Park",
      "status": "5/16 - 7:15 PM EDT",
      "drivers": [
        "team_run_diff",
        "weather",
        "platoon"
      ]
    },
    {
      "sport": "MLB",
      "event_id": "401815364",
      "away": "NYY",
      "home": "NYM",
      "pick": "NYY",
      "model_margin_runs": -0.9,
      "predicted_total": 10.52,
      "moneyline_raw": "",
      "market_ou": null,
      "market_spread": null,
      "confidence": "confident",
      "venue": "Citi Field",
      "status": "5/16 - 7:15 PM EDT",
      "drivers": [
        "team_run_diff",
        "park"
      ]
    },
    {
      "sport": "MLB",
      "event_id": "401815373",
      "away": "SD",
      "home": "SEA",
      "pick": "SEA",
      "model_margin_runs": 1.7,
      "predicted_total": 7.19,
      "moneyline_raw": "",
      "market_ou": null,
      "market_spread": null,
      "confidence": "confident",
      "venue": "T-Mobile Park",
      "status": "5/16 - 7:15 PM EDT",
      "drivers": [
        "park",
        "framing"
      ]
    },
    {
      "sport": "MLB",
      "event_id": "401815372",
      "away": "LAD",
      "home": "LAA",
      "pick": "LAD",
      "model_margin_runs": -1.77,
      "predicted_total": 7.87,
      "moneyline_raw": "LAD -136",
      "market_ou": 8.5,
      "market_spread": 1.5,
      "confidence": "very-confident",
      "venue": "Angel Stadium",
      "status": "5/16 - 9:38 PM EDT",
      "drivers": [
        "team_run_diff",
        "recent_form",
        "platoon",
        "framing"
      ]
    },
    {
      "sport": "MLB",
      "event_id": "401815374",
      "away": "SF",
      "home": "ATH",
      "pick": "ATH",
      "model_margin_runs": 1.3,
      "predicted_total": 8.7,
      "moneyline_raw": "ATH -131",
      "market_ou": 10.0,
      "market_spread": -1.5,
      "confidence": "confident",
      "venue": "Sutter Health Park",
      "status": "5/16 - 9:40 PM EDT",
      "drivers": [
        "team_run_diff",
        "weather"
      ]
    }
  ]
}