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Andrew Painter Picks Coverage

Every Andrew Painter start we've projected and graded in the last 120 days. Current team: Philadelphia Phillies. Recent ERA: 6.21. Record: 1-7. Each start links to the matchup's permanent record with our model's prediction and signals at the time.

Starts Tracked
9
Picks On Team
4
W-L-P
1-2-0
Hit Rate
33.3%

All Starts Covered

DateMatchupERA @ StartPick Result
2026-06-06Philadelphia Phillies vs Chicago White Sox6.21—
2026-05-31Philadelphia Phillies @ Los Angeles Dodgers5.74—
2026-05-24Philadelphia Phillies vs Cleveland Guardians5.40—
2026-05-18Philadelphia Phillies vs Cincinnati Reds5.77W
2026-05-13Philadelphia Phillies @ Boston Red Sox6.21L
2026-05-07Philadelphia Phillies vs Oakland Athletics6.89L
2026-05-02Philadelphia Phillies @ Miami Marlins5.28PENDING
2026-04-24Philadelphia Phillies @ Atlanta Braves5.25—
2026-04-19Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves3.77—

About This Page

The table above lists every Andrew Painter start that appeared in Bookie Bullies' daily MLB coverage. ERA shown is what the model used at that point in the season, not a retroactive value. The "Pick Result" column reflects whether a pick we made on Andrew Painter's team won, lost, or pushed. Pushes count separately. "Pending" means the game hasn't graded yet.

All Philadelphia Phillies picks → See our full model in the methodology or aggregate record on the track record page.

Frequently Asked Questions

How does the model rate Andrew Painter's starts?
Andrew Painter's starts are scored by FIP and xFIP (park-and-league-adjusted), recent form trend (last 3 starts ERA delta vs season), velocity drop penalty when last start had velo decline, home/road and day/night splits, opposing lineup xwOBA vs handedness, and pitcher H2H history vs the opposing team regressed at 50 TBF. The model also factors bullpen quality (in case Andrew Painter exits early), park factors, weather, and umpire tendencies.
Where can I find past picks involving Andrew Painter?
Every pick made on a Andrew Painter start is logged on this page and at /track-record.html. Each row in the table above links to a permanent record with the model's full signals at pick time, the result, and the ESPN comparison probability.
How accurate are the predictions on Andrew Painter?
Per-pitcher accuracy isn't a large enough sample yet to publish individually. Aggregate accuracy lives on the /track-record.html page with per-bucket calibration. The Brier score audit catches pitcher-specific calibration drift if it appears.
Are these picks free?
Yes. Every pick on Bookie Bullies is free. No signup, no paywall. Full model output (probability, EV, recommended stake) is visible on every pick page.