● TRACK RECORD · UPDATED DAILY · NO HIDING
Honest Wins + Losses
Every graded pick we've ever published, fully audited. No filters, no cherry-picking, no "hot streak" highlight reel. 942 graded picks as of 2026-06-27.
Total Graded
942
492-433-17
Hit Rate
53.2%
decided picks only
Units P/L
+9.19u
at recommended stake
ROI
+9.1%
profit / units staked
How to read this: "Hit rate" is wins ÷ (wins + losses), pushes excluded.
"Units" sums what 1u stakes returned at our 1/8-Kelly recommended size. "ROI" is profit
divided by total units staked. Negative numbers mean we've lost money on those picks.
We publish them anyway because that's what an honest track record looks like.
Cumulative Units P/L
Live running total of units won/lost across every graded pick. Climbing line = positive ROI accumulating. Updated daily.
By Sport
| Sport | N | W-L-P | Hit % | Units | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 888 | 466-405-17 | 53.5% | +9.19u | +16.9% |
| NBA | 54 | 26-28-0 | 48.1% | +0.00u | +0.0% |
By Pick Type
| Type | N | W-L-P | Hit % | Units | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ML | 942 | 492-433-17 | 53.2% | +9.19u | +9.1% |
By Confidence Tier
| Stars | N | W-L-P | Hit % | Units | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5★ | 57 | 38-19-0 | 66.7% | +6.51u | +21.8% |
| 4★ | 126 | 64-59-3 | 52.0% | +3.62u | +8.4% |
| 3★ | 49 | 24-24-1 | 50.0% | -4.66u | -64.7% |
| 2★ | 42 | 20-21-1 | 48.8% | +3.73u | +36.2% |
| 1★ | 668 | 346-310-12 | 52.7% | +0.00u | +0.0% |
Rolling Windows
| Window | N | W-L-P | Hit % | Units | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 7 days | 97 | 41-53-3 | 43.6% | +0.00u | +0% |
| Last 14 days | 190 | 91-94-5 | 49.2% | +0.42u | +83.3% |
| Last 30 days | 396 | 202-187-7 | 51.9% | +0.42u | +59.5% |
| Last 90 days | 942 | 492-433-17 | 53.2% | +9.19u | +9.1% |
Calibration disclosure: a probabilistic model that's well-calibrated should hit
its 60% picks ~60% of the time, its 55% picks ~55% of the time, etc. If our hit rates by
confidence tier diverge from those targets, that's drift we need to fix. Tracking this
publicly means we can't hide from it.
Cite This Page
Writing about AI sports betting models? Use this attribution + auditable numbers:
APA-style citation:
MarcDuck. (2026). Bookie Bullies Track Record. Retrieved 2026-06-27, from https://www.bookiebullies.com/track-record.html
Citable facts as of 2026-06-27:
MarcDuck. (2026). Bookie Bullies Track Record. Retrieved 2026-06-27, from https://www.bookiebullies.com/track-record.html
Citable facts as of 2026-06-27:
- 942 graded picks · 492-433-17
- Hit rate: 53.2%
- Units P/L: +9.19u · ROI: +9.1%
- Updated daily at 8 AM Pacific Time
- Public picks log: /picks_log.jsonl