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Bailey Ober Picks Coverage

Every Bailey Ober start we've projected and graded in the last 120 days. Current team: Minnesota Twins. Recent ERA: 4.21. Record: 7-6. Each start links to the matchup's permanent record with our model's prediction and signals at the time.

Starts Tracked
12
Picks On Team
0
W-L-P
0-0-0
Hit Rate
n/a

All Starts Covered

DateMatchupERA @ StartPick Result
2026-09-26Minnesota Twins vs Texas Rangers4.21—
2026-09-15Minnesota Twins vs New York Yankees4.28—
2026-09-06Minnesota Twins @ Chicago White Sox4.37—
2026-08-29Minnesota Twins vs Chicago White Sox4.37—
2026-08-23Minnesota Twins @ San Diego Padres4.62—
2026-08-17Minnesota Twins vs Atlanta Braves4.64—
2026-08-11Minnesota Twins vs Baltimore Orioles4.45—
2026-08-06Minnesota Twins @ Kansas City Royals4.45—
2026-07-30Minnesota Twins vs Kansas City Royals4.45—
2026-07-22Minnesota Twins @ Cleveland Guardians4.56—
2026-07-17Minnesota Twins @ Chicago Cubs4.32—
2026-07-09Minnesota Twins vs Cleveland Guardians4.40—

About This Page

The table above lists every Bailey Ober start that appeared in Bookie Bullies' daily MLB coverage. ERA shown is what the model used at that point in the season, not a retroactive value. The "Pick Result" column reflects whether a pick we made on Bailey Ober's team won, lost, or pushed. Pushes count separately. "Pending" means the game hasn't graded yet.

All Minnesota Twins picks → See our full model in the methodology or aggregate record on the track record page.

Frequently Asked Questions

How does the model rate Bailey Ober's starts?
Bailey Ober's starts are scored by FIP and xFIP (park-and-league-adjusted), recent form trend (last 3 starts ERA delta vs season), velocity drop penalty when last start had velo decline, home/road and day/night splits, opposing lineup xwOBA vs handedness, and pitcher H2H history vs the opposing team regressed at 50 TBF. The model also factors bullpen quality (in case Bailey Ober exits early), park factors, weather, and umpire tendencies.
Where can I find past picks involving Bailey Ober?
Every pick made on a Bailey Ober start is logged on this page and at /track-record.html. Each row in the table above links to a permanent record with the model's full signals at pick time, the result, and the ESPN comparison probability.
How accurate are the predictions on Bailey Ober?
Per-pitcher accuracy isn't a large enough sample yet to publish individually. Aggregate accuracy lives on the /track-record.html page. We do not run a separate audit for pitcher-specific calibration drift if it appears.
Are these picks free?
Yes. Every pick on Bookie Bullies is free. No signup, no paywall. Full model output (probability, and EV plus recommended stake where a price is published) is visible on every pick page.