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Bailey Ober Picks Coverage

Every Bailey Ober start we've projected and graded in the last 120 days. Current team: Minnesota Twins. Recent ERA: 4.59. Record: 6-3. Each start links to the matchup's permanent record with our model's prediction and signals at the time.

Starts Tracked
8
Picks On Team
4
W-L-P
1-1-0
Hit Rate
50.0%

All Starts Covered

DateMatchupERA @ StartPick Result
2026-05-30Minnesota Twins @ Pittsburgh Pirates4.59
2026-05-24Minnesota Twins @ Boston Red Sox3.92PENDING
2026-05-17Minnesota Twins vs Milwaukee Brewers3.63PENDING
2026-05-12Minnesota Twins vs Miami Marlins3.46W
2026-05-06Minnesota Twins @ Washington Nationals3.55L
2026-04-30Minnesota Twins vs Toronto Blue Jays3.94
2026-04-25Minnesota Twins @ Tampa Bay Rays3.94
2026-04-19Minnesota Twins vs Cincinnati Reds5.49

About This Page

The table above lists every Bailey Ober start that appeared in Bookie Bullies' daily MLB coverage. ERA shown is what the model used at that point in the season, not a retroactive value. The "Pick Result" column reflects whether a pick we made on Bailey Ober's team won, lost, or pushed. Pushes count separately. "Pending" means the game hasn't graded yet.

All Minnesota Twins picks → See our full model in the methodology or aggregate record on the track record page.

Frequently Asked Questions

How does the model rate Bailey Ober's starts?
Bailey Ober's starts are scored by FIP and xFIP (park-and-league-adjusted), recent form trend (last 3 starts ERA delta vs season), velocity drop penalty when last start had velo decline, home/road and day/night splits, opposing lineup xwOBA vs handedness, and pitcher H2H history vs the opposing team regressed at 50 TBF. The model also factors bullpen quality (in case Bailey Ober exits early), park factors, weather, and umpire tendencies.
Where can I find past picks involving Bailey Ober?
Every pick made on a Bailey Ober start is logged on this page and at /track-record.html. Each row in the table above links to a permanent record with the model's full signals at pick time, the result, and the ESPN comparison probability.
How accurate are the predictions on Bailey Ober?
Per-pitcher accuracy isn't a large enough sample yet to publish individually. Aggregate accuracy lives on the /track-record.html page with per-bucket calibration. The Brier score audit catches pitcher-specific calibration drift if it appears.
Are these picks free?
Yes. Every pick on Bookie Bullies is free. No signup, no paywall. Full model output (probability, EV, recommended stake) is visible on every pick page.