HomeMLB Pitchers › Jacob deGrom
● MLB STARTING PITCHER · COVERAGE ARCHIVE

Jacob deGrom Picks Coverage

Every Jacob deGrom start we've projected and graded in the last 120 days. Current team: Texas Rangers. Recent ERA: 3.48. Record: 7-5. Each start links to the matchup's permanent record with our model's prediction and signals at the time.

★ STARTING TONIGHT
Jacob deGrom vs Cleveland Guardians
TEX @ CLE · Predicted total: 6.5 runs
View tonight's full pick + edge analysis →
Starts Tracked
12
Picks On Team
5
W-L-P
1-3-0
Hit Rate
25.0%

All Starts Covered

DateMatchupERA @ StartPick Result
2026-06-30Texas Rangers @ Cleveland Guardians3.48
2026-06-24Texas Rangers @ Miami Marlins3.55
2026-06-13Texas Rangers @ Boston Red Sox3.18
2026-06-07Texas Rangers vs Cleveland Guardians3.18
2026-06-01Texas Rangers @ St. Louis Cardinals3.48
2026-05-27Texas Rangers vs Houston Astros3.77L
2026-05-22Texas Rangers @ Los Angeles Angels3.86L
2026-05-16Texas Rangers @ Houston Astros3.02L
2026-05-10Texas Rangers vs Chicago Cubs2.62W
2026-05-05Texas Rangers @ New York Yankees2.01PENDING
2026-04-28Texas Rangers vs New York Yankees2.13
2026-04-23Texas Rangers vs Pittsburgh Pirates2.29

About This Page

The table above lists every Jacob deGrom start that appeared in Bookie Bullies' daily MLB coverage. ERA shown is what the model used at that point in the season, not a retroactive value. The "Pick Result" column reflects whether a pick we made on Jacob deGrom's team won, lost, or pushed. Pushes count separately. "Pending" means the game hasn't graded yet.

All Texas Rangers picks → See our full model in the methodology or aggregate record on the track record page.

Frequently Asked Questions

How does the model rate Jacob deGrom's starts?
Jacob deGrom's starts are scored by FIP and xFIP (park-and-league-adjusted), recent form trend (last 3 starts ERA delta vs season), velocity drop penalty when last start had velo decline, home/road and day/night splits, opposing lineup xwOBA vs handedness, and pitcher H2H history vs the opposing team regressed at 50 TBF. The model also factors bullpen quality (in case Jacob deGrom exits early), park factors, weather, and umpire tendencies.
Where can I find past picks involving Jacob deGrom?
Every pick made on a Jacob deGrom start is logged on this page and at /track-record.html. Each row in the table above links to a permanent record with the model's full signals at pick time, the result, and the ESPN comparison probability.
How accurate are the predictions on Jacob deGrom?
Per-pitcher accuracy isn't a large enough sample yet to publish individually. Aggregate accuracy lives on the /track-record.html page with per-bucket calibration. The Brier score audit catches pitcher-specific calibration drift if it appears.
Are these picks free?
Yes. Every pick on Bookie Bullies is free. No signup, no paywall. Full model output (probability, EV, recommended stake) is visible on every pick page.