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Joe Ryan Picks Coverage

Every Joe Ryan start we've projected and graded in the last 120 days. Current team: Minnesota Twins. Recent ERA: 3.61. Record: 5-5. Each start links to the matchup's permanent record with our model's prediction and signals at the time.

★ STARTING TONIGHT
Joe Ryan vs Houston Astros
MIN @ HOU · Predicted total: 8.8 runs
View tonight's full pick + edge analysis →
Starts Tracked
12
Picks On Team
5
W-L-P
4-0-0
Hit Rate
100.0%

All Starts Covered

DateMatchupERA @ StartPick Result
2026-06-30Minnesota Twins @ Houston Astros3.61
2026-06-24Minnesota Twins vs Los Angeles Dodgers3.18
2026-06-12Minnesota Twins vs St. Louis Cardinals3.17
2026-06-06Minnesota Twins vs Kansas City Royals3.07
2026-06-01Minnesota Twins vs Chicago White Sox3.20
2026-05-26Minnesota Twins @ Chicago White Sox2.94W
2026-05-20Minnesota Twins vs Houston Astros3.02W
2026-05-15Minnesota Twins vs Milwaukee Brewers3.43W
2026-05-09Minnesota Twins @ Cleveland Guardians3.43PENDING
2026-05-03Minnesota Twins vs Toronto Blue Jays3.72W
2026-04-28Minnesota Twins vs Seattle Mariners3.90
2026-04-23Minnesota Twins @ New York Mets3.29

About This Page

The table above lists every Joe Ryan start that appeared in Bookie Bullies' daily MLB coverage. ERA shown is what the model used at that point in the season, not a retroactive value. The "Pick Result" column reflects whether a pick we made on Joe Ryan's team won, lost, or pushed. Pushes count separately. "Pending" means the game hasn't graded yet.

All Minnesota Twins picks → See our full model in the methodology or aggregate record on the track record page.

Frequently Asked Questions

How does the model rate Joe Ryan's starts?
Joe Ryan's starts are scored by FIP and xFIP (park-and-league-adjusted), recent form trend (last 3 starts ERA delta vs season), velocity drop penalty when last start had velo decline, home/road and day/night splits, opposing lineup xwOBA vs handedness, and pitcher H2H history vs the opposing team regressed at 50 TBF. The model also factors bullpen quality (in case Joe Ryan exits early), park factors, weather, and umpire tendencies.
Where can I find past picks involving Joe Ryan?
Every pick made on a Joe Ryan start is logged on this page and at /track-record.html. Each row in the table above links to a permanent record with the model's full signals at pick time, the result, and the ESPN comparison probability.
How accurate are the predictions on Joe Ryan?
Per-pitcher accuracy isn't a large enough sample yet to publish individually. Aggregate accuracy lives on the /track-record.html page with per-bucket calibration. The Brier score audit catches pitcher-specific calibration drift if it appears.
Are these picks free?
Yes. Every pick on Bookie Bullies is free. No signup, no paywall. Full model output (probability, EV, recommended stake) is visible on every pick page.