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Kevin Gausman Picks Coverage

Every Kevin Gausman start we've projected and graded in the last 120 days. Current team: Toronto Blue Jays. Recent ERA: 4.19. Record: 4-7. Each start links to the matchup's permanent record with our model's prediction and signals at the time.

★ STARTING TONIGHT
Kevin Gausman vs New York Mets
NYM @ TOR · Predicted total: 5.8 runs
View tonight's full pick + edge analysis →
Starts Tracked
13
Picks On Team
5
W-L-P
3-1-0
Hit Rate
75.0%

All Starts Covered

DateMatchupERA @ StartPick Result
2026-06-30Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Mets4.19
2026-06-25Toronto Blue Jays vs Texas Rangers4.36
2026-06-13Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees3.60
2026-06-07Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles3.60
2026-06-02Toronto Blue Jays @ Atlanta Braves3.36
2026-05-27Toronto Blue Jays vs Miami Marlins3.13W
2026-05-22Toronto Blue Jays vs Pittsburgh Pirates3.23W
2026-05-17Toronto Blue Jays @ Detroit Tigers3.45W
2026-05-11Toronto Blue Jays vs Tampa Bay Rays3.86L
2026-05-05Toronto Blue Jays @ Tampa Bay Rays3.10PENDING
2026-04-30Toronto Blue Jays @ Minnesota Twins2.57
2026-04-25Toronto Blue Jays vs Cleveland Guardians2.57
2026-04-19Toronto Blue Jays @ Arizona Diamondbacks2.42

About This Page

The table above lists every Kevin Gausman start that appeared in Bookie Bullies' daily MLB coverage. ERA shown is what the model used at that point in the season, not a retroactive value. The "Pick Result" column reflects whether a pick we made on Kevin Gausman's team won, lost, or pushed. Pushes count separately. "Pending" means the game hasn't graded yet.

All Toronto Blue Jays picks → See our full model in the methodology or aggregate record on the track record page.

Frequently Asked Questions

How does the model rate Kevin Gausman's starts?
Kevin Gausman's starts are scored by FIP and xFIP (park-and-league-adjusted), recent form trend (last 3 starts ERA delta vs season), velocity drop penalty when last start had velo decline, home/road and day/night splits, opposing lineup xwOBA vs handedness, and pitcher H2H history vs the opposing team regressed at 50 TBF. The model also factors bullpen quality (in case Kevin Gausman exits early), park factors, weather, and umpire tendencies.
Where can I find past picks involving Kevin Gausman?
Every pick made on a Kevin Gausman start is logged on this page and at /track-record.html. Each row in the table above links to a permanent record with the model's full signals at pick time, the result, and the ESPN comparison probability.
How accurate are the predictions on Kevin Gausman?
Per-pitcher accuracy isn't a large enough sample yet to publish individually. Aggregate accuracy lives on the /track-record.html page with per-bucket calibration. The Brier score audit catches pitcher-specific calibration drift if it appears.
Are these picks free?
Yes. Every pick on Bookie Bullies is free. No signup, no paywall. Full model output (probability, EV, recommended stake) is visible on every pick page.