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Kris Bubic Picks Coverage

Every Kris Bubic start we've projected and graded in the last 120 days. Current team: Kansas City Royals. Recent ERA: 4.11. Record: 3-2. Each start links to the matchup's permanent record with our model's prediction and signals at the time.

Starts Tracked
5
Picks On Team
3
W-L-P
1-1-0
Hit Rate
50.0%

All Starts Covered

DateMatchupERA @ StartPick Result
2026-05-14Kansas City Royals @ Chicago White Sox4.11L
2026-05-08Kansas City Royals vs Detroit Tigers3.50W
2026-05-03Kansas City Royals @ Seattle Mariners3.32PENDING
2026-04-28Kansas City Royals @ Oakland Athletics4.08—
2026-04-21Kansas City Royals vs Baltimore Orioles3.97—

About This Page

The table above lists every Kris Bubic start that appeared in Bookie Bullies' daily MLB coverage. ERA shown is what the model used at that point in the season, not a retroactive value. The "Pick Result" column reflects whether a pick we made on Kris Bubic's team won, lost, or pushed. Pushes count separately. "Pending" means the game hasn't graded yet.

All Kansas City Royals picks → See our full model in the methodology or aggregate record on the track record page.

Frequently Asked Questions

How does the model rate Kris Bubic's starts?
Kris Bubic's starts are scored by FIP and xFIP (park-and-league-adjusted), recent form trend (last 3 starts ERA delta vs season), velocity drop penalty when last start had velo decline, home/road and day/night splits, opposing lineup xwOBA vs handedness, and pitcher H2H history vs the opposing team regressed at 50 TBF. The model also factors bullpen quality (in case Kris Bubic exits early), park factors, weather, and umpire tendencies.
Where can I find past picks involving Kris Bubic?
Every pick made on a Kris Bubic start is logged on this page and at /track-record.html. Each row in the table above links to a permanent record with the model's full signals at pick time, the result, and the ESPN comparison probability.
How accurate are the predictions on Kris Bubic?
Per-pitcher accuracy isn't a large enough sample yet to publish individually. Aggregate accuracy lives on the /track-record.html page with per-bucket calibration. The Brier score audit catches pitcher-specific calibration drift if it appears.
Are these picks free?
Yes. Every pick on Bookie Bullies is free. No signup, no paywall. Full model output (probability, EV, recommended stake) is visible on every pick page.