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Lake Bachar Picks Coverage

Every Lake Bachar start we've projected and graded in the last 120 days. Current team: Pittsburgh Pirates. Recent ERA: 3.7. Record: 1-3. Each start links to the matchup's permanent record with our model's prediction and signals at the time.

Starts Tracked
6
Picks On Team
0
W-L-P
0-0-0
Hit Rate
0%

All Starts Covered

DateMatchupERA @ StartPick Result
2026-08-29Pittsburgh Pirates @ St. Louis Cardinals3.70—
2026-08-23Pittsburgh Pirates @ Los Angeles Dodgers3.75—
2026-08-16Pittsburgh Pirates vs Boston Red Sox3.97—
2026-06-13Miami Marlins @ Pittsburgh Pirates2.97—
2026-06-06Miami Marlins vs Tampa Bay Rays3.15—
2026-06-02Miami Marlins @ Washington Nationals3.45—

About This Page

The table above lists every Lake Bachar start that appeared in Bookie Bullies' daily MLB coverage. ERA shown is what the model used at that point in the season, not a retroactive value. The "Pick Result" column reflects whether a pick we made on Lake Bachar's team won, lost, or pushed. Pushes count separately. "Pending" means the game hasn't graded yet.

All Pittsburgh Pirates picks → See our full model in the methodology or aggregate record on the track record page.

Frequently Asked Questions

How does the model rate Lake Bachar's starts?
Lake Bachar's starts are scored by FIP and xFIP (park-and-league-adjusted), recent form trend (last 3 starts ERA delta vs season), velocity drop penalty when last start had velo decline, home/road and day/night splits, opposing lineup xwOBA vs handedness, and pitcher H2H history vs the opposing team regressed at 50 TBF. The model also factors bullpen quality (in case Lake Bachar exits early), park factors, weather, and umpire tendencies.
Where can I find past picks involving Lake Bachar?
Every pick made on a Lake Bachar start is logged on this page and at /track-record.html. Each row in the table above links to a permanent record with the model's full signals at pick time, the result, and the ESPN comparison probability.
How accurate are the predictions on Lake Bachar?
Per-pitcher accuracy isn't a large enough sample yet to publish individually. Aggregate accuracy lives on the /track-record.html page with per-bucket calibration. The Brier score audit catches pitcher-specific calibration drift if it appears.
Are these picks free?
Yes. Every pick on Bookie Bullies is free. No signup, no paywall. Full model output (probability, EV, recommended stake) is visible on every pick page.