Lance McCullers Jr. Picks Coverage

Every Lance McCullers Jr. start we've projected and graded in the last 120 days. Current team: Houston Astros. Recent ERA: 6.86. Record: 2-3. Each start links to the matchup's permanent record with our model's prediction and signals at the time.

Starts Tracked

Picks On Team

W-L-P

1-0-0

Hit Rate

100.0%

All Starts Covered

Date	Matchup	ERA @ Start	Pick Result
2026-05-13	Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners	6.86	W
2026-05-06	Houston Astros vs Los Angeles Dodgers	7.41	—
2026-04-30	Houston Astros @ Baltimore Orioles	6.75	—
2026-04-24	Houston Astros vs New York Yankees	6.75	—

About This Page

The table above lists every Lance McCullers Jr. start that appeared in Bookie Bullies' daily MLB coverage. ERA shown is what the model used at that point in the season, not a retroactive value. The "Pick Result" column reflects whether a pick we made on Lance McCullers Jr.'s team won, lost, or pushed. Pushes count separately. "Pending" means the game hasn't graded yet.

All Houston Astros picks → See our full model in the methodology or aggregate record on the track record page.

Frequently Asked Questions

How does the model rate Lance McCullers Jr.'s starts?

Lance McCullers Jr.'s starts are scored by FIP and xFIP (park-and-league-adjusted), recent form trend (last 3 starts ERA delta vs season), velocity drop penalty when last start had velo decline, home/road and day/night splits, opposing lineup xwOBA vs handedness, and pitcher H2H history vs the opposing team regressed at 50 TBF. The model also factors bullpen quality (in case Lance McCullers Jr. exits early), park factors, weather, and umpire tendencies.

Where can I find past picks involving Lance McCullers Jr.?

Every pick made on a Lance McCullers Jr. start is logged on this page and at /track-record.html. Each row in the table above links to a permanent record with the model's full signals at pick time, the result, and the ESPN comparison probability.

How accurate are the predictions on Lance McCullers Jr.?

Per-pitcher accuracy isn't a large enough sample yet to publish individually. Aggregate accuracy lives on the /track-record.html page with per-bucket calibration. The Brier score audit catches pitcher-specific calibration drift if it appears.

Are these picks free?

Yes. Every pick on Bookie Bullies is free. No signup, no paywall. Full model output (probability, EV, recommended stake) is visible on every pick page.