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Luis Castillo Picks Coverage

Every Luis Castillo start we've projected and graded in the last 120 days. Current team: Seattle Mariners. Recent ERA: 4.93. Record: 3-6. Each start links to the matchup's permanent record with our model's prediction and signals at the time.

Starts Tracked
9
Picks On Team
3
W-L-P
1-2-0
Hit Rate
33.3%

All Starts Covered

DateMatchupERA @ StartPick Result
2026-06-26Seattle Mariners @ Cleveland Guardians4.93
2026-06-13Seattle Mariners @ Washington Nationals5.16
2026-06-07Seattle Mariners @ Detroit Tigers5.16
2026-05-25Seattle Mariners @ Oakland Athletics5.90W
2026-05-14Seattle Mariners @ Houston Astros6.34
2026-05-09Seattle Mariners @ Chicago White Sox6.57L
2026-05-03Seattle Mariners vs Kansas City Royals6.29L
2026-04-27Seattle Mariners @ Minnesota Twins6.35
2026-04-21Seattle Mariners vs Oakland Athletics5.40

About This Page

The table above lists every Luis Castillo start that appeared in Bookie Bullies' daily MLB coverage. ERA shown is what the model used at that point in the season, not a retroactive value. The "Pick Result" column reflects whether a pick we made on Luis Castillo's team won, lost, or pushed. Pushes count separately. "Pending" means the game hasn't graded yet.

All Seattle Mariners picks → See our full model in the methodology or aggregate record on the track record page.

Frequently Asked Questions

How does the model rate Luis Castillo's starts?
Luis Castillo's starts are scored by FIP and xFIP (park-and-league-adjusted), recent form trend (last 3 starts ERA delta vs season), velocity drop penalty when last start had velo decline, home/road and day/night splits, opposing lineup xwOBA vs handedness, and pitcher H2H history vs the opposing team regressed at 50 TBF. The model also factors bullpen quality (in case Luis Castillo exits early), park factors, weather, and umpire tendencies.
Where can I find past picks involving Luis Castillo?
Every pick made on a Luis Castillo start is logged on this page and at /track-record.html. Each row in the table above links to a permanent record with the model's full signals at pick time, the result, and the ESPN comparison probability.
How accurate are the predictions on Luis Castillo?
Per-pitcher accuracy isn't a large enough sample yet to publish individually. Aggregate accuracy lives on the /track-record.html page with per-bucket calibration. The Brier score audit catches pitcher-specific calibration drift if it appears.
Are these picks free?
Yes. Every pick on Bookie Bullies is free. No signup, no paywall. Full model output (probability, EV, recommended stake) is visible on every pick page.