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Michael Lorenzen Picks Coverage

Every Michael Lorenzen start we've projected and graded in the last 120 days. Current team: Colorado Rockies. Recent ERA: 6.83. Record: 3-10. Each start links to the matchup's permanent record with our model's prediction and signals at the time.

Starts Tracked
10
Picks On Team
0
W-L-P
0-0-0
Hit Rate
n/a

All Starts Covered

DateMatchupERA @ StartPick Result
2026-08-15Colorado Rockies @ San Francisco Giants6.83—
2026-08-09Colorado Rockies @ St. Louis Cardinals6.83—
2026-08-03Colorado Rockies vs Tampa Bay Rays6.94—
2026-07-28Colorado Rockies @ San Diego Padres6.53—
2026-07-21Colorado Rockies vs Washington Nationals6.53—
2026-07-12Colorado Rockies @ San Francisco Giants6.22—
2026-07-07Colorado Rockies @ Los Angeles Dodgers6.65—
2026-07-02Colorado Rockies vs Miami Marlins6.91—
2026-06-27Colorado Rockies @ Minnesota Twins6.83—
2026-06-10Colorado Rockies vs Chicago Cubs7.54—

About This Page

The table above lists every Michael Lorenzen start that appeared in Bookie Bullies' daily MLB coverage. ERA shown is what the model used at that point in the season, not a retroactive value. The "Pick Result" column reflects whether a pick we made on Michael Lorenzen's team won, lost, or pushed. Pushes count separately. "Pending" means the game hasn't graded yet.

All Colorado Rockies picks → See our full model in the methodology or aggregate record on the track record page.

Frequently Asked Questions

How does the model rate Michael Lorenzen's starts?
Michael Lorenzen's starts are scored by FIP and xFIP (park-and-league-adjusted), recent form trend (last 3 starts ERA delta vs season), velocity drop penalty when last start had velo decline, home/road and day/night splits, opposing lineup xwOBA vs handedness, and pitcher H2H history vs the opposing team regressed at 50 TBF. The model also factors bullpen quality (in case Michael Lorenzen exits early), park factors, weather, and umpire tendencies.
Where can I find past picks involving Michael Lorenzen?
Every pick made on a Michael Lorenzen start is logged on this page and at /track-record.html. Each row in the table above links to a permanent record with the model's full signals at pick time, the result, and the ESPN comparison probability.
How accurate are the predictions on Michael Lorenzen?
Per-pitcher accuracy isn't a large enough sample yet to publish individually. Aggregate accuracy lives on the /track-record.html page. We do not run a separate audit for pitcher-specific calibration drift if it appears.
Are these picks free?
Yes. Every pick on Bookie Bullies is free. No signup, no paywall. Full model output (probability, and EV plus recommended stake where a price is published) is visible on every pick page.