HomeMLB Pitchers › Michael Lorenzen
● MLB STARTING PITCHER · COVERAGE ARCHIVE

Michael Lorenzen Picks Coverage

Every Michael Lorenzen start we've projected and graded in the last 120 days. Current team: Colorado Rockies. Recent ERA: 6.91. Record: 3-9. Each start links to the matchup's permanent record with our model's prediction and signals at the time.

Starts Tracked
13
Picks On Team
4
W-L-P
0-2-1
Hit Rate
0.0%

All Starts Covered

DateMatchupERA @ StartPick Result
2026-07-02Colorado Rockies vs Miami Marlins6.91
2026-06-27Colorado Rockies @ Minnesota Twins6.83
2026-06-10Colorado Rockies vs Chicago Cubs7.54
2026-06-03Colorado Rockies @ Los Angeles Angels8.01
2026-05-29Colorado Rockies vs San Francisco Giants7.22
2026-05-23Colorado Rockies @ Arizona Diamondbacks7.03PENDING
2026-05-17Colorado Rockies vs Arizona Diamondbacks7.03L
2026-05-12Colorado Rockies @ Pittsburgh Pirates6.55
2026-05-06Colorado Rockies vs New York Mets6.09L
2026-05-05Colorado Rockies vs New York Mets6.09P
2026-04-30Colorado Rockies @ Cincinnati Reds6.09
2026-04-24Colorado Rockies @ New York Mets5.97
2026-04-19Colorado Rockies vs Los Angeles Dodgers8.10

About This Page

The table above lists every Michael Lorenzen start that appeared in Bookie Bullies' daily MLB coverage. ERA shown is what the model used at that point in the season, not a retroactive value. The "Pick Result" column reflects whether a pick we made on Michael Lorenzen's team won, lost, or pushed. Pushes count separately. "Pending" means the game hasn't graded yet.

All Colorado Rockies picks → See our full model in the methodology or aggregate record on the track record page.

Frequently Asked Questions

How does the model rate Michael Lorenzen's starts?
Michael Lorenzen's starts are scored by FIP and xFIP (park-and-league-adjusted), recent form trend (last 3 starts ERA delta vs season), velocity drop penalty when last start had velo decline, home/road and day/night splits, opposing lineup xwOBA vs handedness, and pitcher H2H history vs the opposing team regressed at 50 TBF. The model also factors bullpen quality (in case Michael Lorenzen exits early), park factors, weather, and umpire tendencies.
Where can I find past picks involving Michael Lorenzen?
Every pick made on a Michael Lorenzen start is logged on this page and at /track-record.html. Each row in the table above links to a permanent record with the model's full signals at pick time, the result, and the ESPN comparison probability.
How accurate are the predictions on Michael Lorenzen?
Per-pitcher accuracy isn't a large enough sample yet to publish individually. Aggregate accuracy lives on the /track-record.html page with per-bucket calibration. The Brier score audit catches pitcher-specific calibration drift if it appears.
Are these picks free?
Yes. Every pick on Bookie Bullies is free. No signup, no paywall. Full model output (probability, EV, recommended stake) is visible on every pick page.