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Michael Wacha Picks Coverage

Every Michael Wacha start we've projected and graded in the last 120 days. Current team: Kansas City Royals. Recent ERA: 3.31. Record: 5-5. Each start links to the matchup's permanent record with our model's prediction and signals at the time.

★ STARTING TONIGHT
Michael Wacha vs Philadelphia Phillies
PHI @ KC · Predicted total: 7.7 runs
View tonight's full pick + edge analysis →
Starts Tracked
12
Picks On Team
4
W-L-P
2-2-0
Hit Rate
50.0%

All Starts Covered

DateMatchupERA @ StartPick Result
2026-07-04Kansas City Royals vs Philadelphia Phillies3.31
2026-06-27Kansas City Royals @ Chicago White Sox3.31
2026-06-22Kansas City Royals @ Tampa Bay Rays3.48
2026-06-11Kansas City Royals vs Texas Rangers3.58
2026-06-05Kansas City Royals @ Minnesota Twins3.44
2026-05-31Kansas City Royals @ Texas Rangers3.23
2026-05-25Kansas City Royals vs New York Yankees2.69
2026-05-20Kansas City Royals vs Boston Red Sox2.70L
2026-05-15Kansas City Royals @ St. Louis Cardinals2.63L
2026-05-09Kansas City Royals vs Detroit Tigers2.63W
2026-05-04Kansas City Royals vs Cleveland Guardians3.13W
2026-04-22Kansas City Royals vs Baltimore Orioles2.51

About This Page

The table above lists every Michael Wacha start that appeared in Bookie Bullies' daily MLB coverage. ERA shown is what the model used at that point in the season, not a retroactive value. The "Pick Result" column reflects whether a pick we made on Michael Wacha's team won, lost, or pushed. Pushes count separately. "Pending" means the game hasn't graded yet.

All Kansas City Royals picks → See our full model in the methodology or aggregate record on the track record page.

Frequently Asked Questions

How does the model rate Michael Wacha's starts?
Michael Wacha's starts are scored by FIP and xFIP (park-and-league-adjusted), recent form trend (last 3 starts ERA delta vs season), velocity drop penalty when last start had velo decline, home/road and day/night splits, opposing lineup xwOBA vs handedness, and pitcher H2H history vs the opposing team regressed at 50 TBF. The model also factors bullpen quality (in case Michael Wacha exits early), park factors, weather, and umpire tendencies.
Where can I find past picks involving Michael Wacha?
Every pick made on a Michael Wacha start is logged on this page and at /track-record.html. Each row in the table above links to a permanent record with the model's full signals at pick time, the result, and the ESPN comparison probability.
How accurate are the predictions on Michael Wacha?
Per-pitcher accuracy isn't a large enough sample yet to publish individually. Aggregate accuracy lives on the /track-record.html page with per-bucket calibration. The Brier score audit catches pitcher-specific calibration drift if it appears.
Are these picks free?
Yes. Every pick on Bookie Bullies is free. No signup, no paywall. Full model output (probability, EV, recommended stake) is visible on every pick page.