Nick Martinez Picks Coverage

Every Nick Martinez start we've projected and graded in the last 120 days. Current team: Tampa Bay Rays. Recent ERA: 2.61. Record: 7-2. Each start links to the matchup's permanent record with our model's prediction and signals at the time.

Starts Tracked

Picks On Team

W-L-P

2-1-1

Hit Rate

66.7%

All Starts Covered

Date	Matchup	ERA @ Start	Pick Result
2026-07-03	Tampa Bay Rays @ Houston Astros	2.61	—
2026-06-26	Tampa Bay Rays vs Arizona Diamondbacks	2.66	—
2026-06-09	Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox	2.43	—
2026-06-03	Tampa Bay Rays vs Detroit Tigers	2.29	—
2026-05-29	Tampa Bay Rays vs Los Angeles Angels	1.62	—
2026-05-22	Tampa Bay Rays @ New York Yankees	1.51	PENDING
2026-05-16	Tampa Bay Rays vs Miami Marlins	1.51	L
2026-05-10	Tampa Bay Rays @ Boston Red Sox	1.70	W
2026-05-09	Tampa Bay Rays @ Boston Red Sox	1.71	P
2026-05-04	Tampa Bay Rays vs Toronto Blue Jays	1.70	W
2026-04-28	Tampa Bay Rays @ Cleveland Guardians	1.70	—
2026-04-22	Tampa Bay Rays vs Cincinnati Reds	2.10	—

About This Page

The table above lists every Nick Martinez start that appeared in Bookie Bullies' daily MLB coverage. ERA shown is what the model used at that point in the season, not a retroactive value. The "Pick Result" column reflects whether a pick we made on Nick Martinez's team won, lost, or pushed. Pushes count separately. "Pending" means the game hasn't graded yet.

All Tampa Bay Rays picks → See our full model in the methodology or aggregate record on the track record page.

Frequently Asked Questions

How does the model rate Nick Martinez's starts?

Nick Martinez's starts are scored by FIP and xFIP (park-and-league-adjusted), recent form trend (last 3 starts ERA delta vs season), velocity drop penalty when last start had velo decline, home/road and day/night splits, opposing lineup xwOBA vs handedness, and pitcher H2H history vs the opposing team regressed at 50 TBF. The model also factors bullpen quality (in case Nick Martinez exits early), park factors, weather, and umpire tendencies.

Where can I find past picks involving Nick Martinez?

Every pick made on a Nick Martinez start is logged on this page and at /track-record.html. Each row in the table above links to a permanent record with the model's full signals at pick time, the result, and the ESPN comparison probability.

How accurate are the predictions on Nick Martinez?

Per-pitcher accuracy isn't a large enough sample yet to publish individually. Aggregate accuracy lives on the /track-record.html page with per-bucket calibration. The Brier score audit catches pitcher-specific calibration drift if it appears.

Are these picks free?

Yes. Every pick on Bookie Bullies is free. No signup, no paywall. Full model output (probability, EV, recommended stake) is visible on every pick page.