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Patrick Corbin Picks Coverage

Every Patrick Corbin start we've projected and graded in the last 120 days. Current team: Toronto Blue Jays. Recent ERA: 5.09. Record: 2-4. Each start links to the matchup's permanent record with our model's prediction and signals at the time.

Starts Tracked
11
Picks On Team
3
W-L-P
1-0-0
Hit Rate
100.0%

All Starts Covered

DateMatchupERA @ StartPick Result
2026-06-26Toronto Blue Jays vs Texas Rangers5.09
2026-06-08Toronto Blue Jays vs Philadelphia Phillies4.55
2026-06-03Toronto Blue Jays @ Atlanta Braves3.98
2026-05-28Toronto Blue Jays @ Baltimore Orioles3.65
2026-05-23Toronto Blue Jays vs Pittsburgh Pirates3.86PENDING
2026-05-18Toronto Blue Jays @ New York Yankees4.23W
2026-05-12Toronto Blue Jays vs Tampa Bay Rays3.93
2026-05-06Toronto Blue Jays @ Tampa Bay Rays3.60PENDING
2026-05-01Toronto Blue Jays @ Minnesota Twins3.72
2026-04-26Toronto Blue Jays vs Cleveland Guardians3.72
2026-04-21Toronto Blue Jays @ Los Angeles Angels4.66

About This Page

The table above lists every Patrick Corbin start that appeared in Bookie Bullies' daily MLB coverage. ERA shown is what the model used at that point in the season, not a retroactive value. The "Pick Result" column reflects whether a pick we made on Patrick Corbin's team won, lost, or pushed. Pushes count separately. "Pending" means the game hasn't graded yet.

All Toronto Blue Jays picks → See our full model in the methodology or aggregate record on the track record page.

Frequently Asked Questions

How does the model rate Patrick Corbin's starts?
Patrick Corbin's starts are scored by FIP and xFIP (park-and-league-adjusted), recent form trend (last 3 starts ERA delta vs season), velocity drop penalty when last start had velo decline, home/road and day/night splits, opposing lineup xwOBA vs handedness, and pitcher H2H history vs the opposing team regressed at 50 TBF. The model also factors bullpen quality (in case Patrick Corbin exits early), park factors, weather, and umpire tendencies.
Where can I find past picks involving Patrick Corbin?
Every pick made on a Patrick Corbin start is logged on this page and at /track-record.html. Each row in the table above links to a permanent record with the model's full signals at pick time, the result, and the ESPN comparison probability.
How accurate are the predictions on Patrick Corbin?
Per-pitcher accuracy isn't a large enough sample yet to publish individually. Aggregate accuracy lives on the /track-record.html page with per-bucket calibration. The Brier score audit catches pitcher-specific calibration drift if it appears.
Are these picks free?
Yes. Every pick on Bookie Bullies is free. No signup, no paywall. Full model output (probability, EV, recommended stake) is visible on every pick page.