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Paul Skenes Picks Coverage

Every Paul Skenes start we've projected and graded in the last 120 days. Current team: Pittsburgh Pirates. Recent ERA: 3.96. Record: 9-10. Each start links to the matchup's permanent record with our model's prediction and signals at the time.

Starts Tracked
18
Picks On Team
4
W-L-P
2-2-0
Hit Rate
50.0%

All Starts Covered

DateMatchupERA @ StartPick Result
2026-08-11Pittsburgh Pirates @ Miami Marlins3.96
2026-08-05Pittsburgh Pirates @ Milwaukee Brewers3.90
2026-07-31Pittsburgh Pirates @ Cincinnati Reds3.90
2026-07-25Pittsburgh Pirates vs Chicago Cubs3.65
2026-07-19Pittsburgh Pirates @ Cleveland Guardians3.43
2026-07-12Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers3.57
2026-07-07Pittsburgh Pirates vs Atlanta Braves3.58
2026-07-01Pittsburgh Pirates @ Philadelphia Phillies3.62
2026-06-26Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds3.10
2026-06-09Pittsburgh Pirates vs Los Angeles Dodgers2.84
2026-06-03Pittsburgh Pirates @ Houston Astros3.09
2026-05-28Pittsburgh Pirates vs Chicago Cubs2.89
2026-05-23Pittsburgh Pirates @ Toronto Blue Jays3.00L
2026-05-17Pittsburgh Pirates vs Philadelphia Phillies2.62L
2026-05-12Pittsburgh Pirates vs Colorado Rockies1.98W
2026-05-06Pittsburgh Pirates @ Arizona Diamondbacks3.18W
2026-04-30Pittsburgh Pirates vs St. Louis Cardinals3.18
2026-04-24Pittsburgh Pirates @ Milwaukee Brewers2.48

About This Page

The table above lists every Paul Skenes start that appeared in Bookie Bullies' daily MLB coverage. ERA shown is what the model used at that point in the season, not a retroactive value. The "Pick Result" column reflects whether a pick we made on Paul Skenes's team won, lost, or pushed. Pushes count separately. "Pending" means the game hasn't graded yet.

All Pittsburgh Pirates picks → See our full model in the methodology or aggregate record on the track record page.

Frequently Asked Questions

How does the model rate Paul Skenes's starts?
Paul Skenes's starts are scored by FIP and xFIP (park-and-league-adjusted), recent form trend (last 3 starts ERA delta vs season), velocity drop penalty when last start had velo decline, home/road and day/night splits, opposing lineup xwOBA vs handedness, and pitcher H2H history vs the opposing team regressed at 50 TBF. The model also factors bullpen quality (in case Paul Skenes exits early), park factors, weather, and umpire tendencies.
Where can I find past picks involving Paul Skenes?
Every pick made on a Paul Skenes start is logged on this page and at /track-record.html. Each row in the table above links to a permanent record with the model's full signals at pick time, the result, and the ESPN comparison probability.
How accurate are the predictions on Paul Skenes?
Per-pitcher accuracy isn't a large enough sample yet to publish individually. Aggregate accuracy lives on the /track-record.html page with per-bucket calibration. The Brier score audit catches pitcher-specific calibration drift if it appears.
Are these picks free?
Yes. Every pick on Bookie Bullies is free. No signup, no paywall. Full model output (probability, EV, recommended stake) is visible on every pick page.