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Randy Dobnak Picks Coverage

Every Randy Dobnak start we've projected and graded in the last 120 days. Current team: Kansas City Royals. Recent ERA: 1.92. Record: 2-2. Each start links to the matchup's permanent record with our model's prediction and signals at the time.

★ STARTING TONIGHT
Randy Dobnak vs Miami Marlins
MIA @ KC · Predicted total: 10.3 runs
View tonight's full pick + edge analysis →
Starts Tracked
9
Picks On Team
0
W-L-P
0-0-0
Hit Rate
0%

All Starts Covered

DateMatchupERA @ StartPick Result
2026-09-01Kansas City Royals vs Miami Marlins1.92—
2026-08-26Kansas City Royals @ Toronto Blue Jays1.58—
2026-08-20Kansas City Royals vs Oakland Athletics1.58—
2026-08-15Kansas City Royals @ Los Angeles Angels2.00—
2026-08-09Kansas City Royals vs Chicago Cubs2.00—
2026-08-04Kansas City Royals vs Minnesota Twins1.04—
2026-07-29Kansas City Royals @ Minnesota Twins1.04—
2026-07-23Kansas City Royals @ Detroit Tigers1.42—
2026-07-18Kansas City Royals vs San Diego Padres1.93—

About This Page

The table above lists every Randy Dobnak start that appeared in Bookie Bullies' daily MLB coverage. ERA shown is what the model used at that point in the season, not a retroactive value. The "Pick Result" column reflects whether a pick we made on Randy Dobnak's team won, lost, or pushed. Pushes count separately. "Pending" means the game hasn't graded yet.

All Kansas City Royals picks → See our full model in the methodology or aggregate record on the track record page.

Frequently Asked Questions

How does the model rate Randy Dobnak's starts?
Randy Dobnak's starts are scored by FIP and xFIP (park-and-league-adjusted), recent form trend (last 3 starts ERA delta vs season), velocity drop penalty when last start had velo decline, home/road and day/night splits, opposing lineup xwOBA vs handedness, and pitcher H2H history vs the opposing team regressed at 50 TBF. The model also factors bullpen quality (in case Randy Dobnak exits early), park factors, weather, and umpire tendencies.
Where can I find past picks involving Randy Dobnak?
Every pick made on a Randy Dobnak start is logged on this page and at /track-record.html. Each row in the table above links to a permanent record with the model's full signals at pick time, the result, and the ESPN comparison probability.
How accurate are the predictions on Randy Dobnak?
Per-pitcher accuracy isn't a large enough sample yet to publish individually. Aggregate accuracy lives on the /track-record.html page with per-bucket calibration. The Brier score audit catches pitcher-specific calibration drift if it appears.
Are these picks free?
Yes. Every pick on Bookie Bullies is free. No signup, no paywall. Full model output (probability, EV, recommended stake) is visible on every pick page.