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Ryne Nelson Picks Coverage

Every Ryne Nelson start we've projected and graded in the last 120 days. Current team: Arizona Diamondbacks. Recent ERA: 5.19. Record: 2-5. Each start links to the matchup's permanent record with our model's prediction and signals at the time.

Starts Tracked
10
Picks On Team
4
W-L-P
2-1-0
Hit Rate
66.7%

All Starts Covered

DateMatchupERA @ StartPick Result
2026-06-10Arizona Diamondbacks @ Miami Marlins5.19—
2026-06-04Arizona Diamondbacks vs Los Angeles Dodgers4.60—
2026-05-30Arizona Diamondbacks @ Seattle Mariners4.82—
2026-05-24Arizona Diamondbacks vs Colorado Rockies4.65W
2026-05-19Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Francisco Giants5.19W
2026-05-13Arizona Diamondbacks @ Texas Rangers5.40L
2026-05-08Arizona Diamondbacks vs New York Mets6.61PENDING
2026-05-02Arizona Diamondbacks @ Chicago Cubs6.61—
2026-04-26Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres7.71—
2026-04-19Arizona Diamondbacks vs Toronto Blue Jays3.54—

About This Page

The table above lists every Ryne Nelson start that appeared in Bookie Bullies' daily MLB coverage. ERA shown is what the model used at that point in the season, not a retroactive value. The "Pick Result" column reflects whether a pick we made on Ryne Nelson's team won, lost, or pushed. Pushes count separately. "Pending" means the game hasn't graded yet.

All Arizona Diamondbacks picks → See our full model in the methodology or aggregate record on the track record page.

Frequently Asked Questions

How does the model rate Ryne Nelson's starts?
Ryne Nelson's starts are scored by FIP and xFIP (park-and-league-adjusted), recent form trend (last 3 starts ERA delta vs season), velocity drop penalty when last start had velo decline, home/road and day/night splits, opposing lineup xwOBA vs handedness, and pitcher H2H history vs the opposing team regressed at 50 TBF. The model also factors bullpen quality (in case Ryne Nelson exits early), park factors, weather, and umpire tendencies.
Where can I find past picks involving Ryne Nelson?
Every pick made on a Ryne Nelson start is logged on this page and at /track-record.html. Each row in the table above links to a permanent record with the model's full signals at pick time, the result, and the ESPN comparison probability.
How accurate are the predictions on Ryne Nelson?
Per-pitcher accuracy isn't a large enough sample yet to publish individually. Aggregate accuracy lives on the /track-record.html page with per-bucket calibration. The Brier score audit catches pitcher-specific calibration drift if it appears.
Are these picks free?
Yes. Every pick on Bookie Bullies is free. No signup, no paywall. Full model output (probability, EV, recommended stake) is visible on every pick page.