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Shohei Ohtani Picks Coverage

Every Shohei Ohtani start we've projected and graded in the last 120 days. Current team: Los Angeles Dodgers. Recent ERA: 1.79. Record: 8-2. Each start links to the matchup's permanent record with our model's prediction and signals at the time.

Starts Tracked
10
Picks On Team
4
W-L-P
3-1-0
Hit Rate
75.0%

All Starts Covered

DateMatchupERA @ StartPick Result
2026-07-03Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Diego Padres1.79
2026-06-24Los Angeles Dodgers @ Minnesota Twins1.58
2026-06-10Los Angeles Dodgers @ Pittsburgh Pirates1.06
2026-06-03Los Angeles Dodgers @ Arizona Diamondbacks0.74
2026-05-27Los Angeles Dodgers vs Colorado Rockies0.82W
2026-05-20Los Angeles Dodgers @ San Diego Padres0.73W
2026-05-13Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Francisco Giants0.82W
2026-05-05Los Angeles Dodgers @ Houston Astros0.60L
2026-04-28Los Angeles Dodgers vs Miami Marlins0.38
2026-04-22Los Angeles Dodgers @ San Francisco Giants0.38

About This Page

The table above lists every Shohei Ohtani start that appeared in Bookie Bullies' daily MLB coverage. ERA shown is what the model used at that point in the season, not a retroactive value. The "Pick Result" column reflects whether a pick we made on Shohei Ohtani's team won, lost, or pushed. Pushes count separately. "Pending" means the game hasn't graded yet.

All Los Angeles Dodgers picks → See our full model in the methodology or aggregate record on the track record page.

Frequently Asked Questions

How does the model rate Shohei Ohtani's starts?
Shohei Ohtani's starts are scored by FIP and xFIP (park-and-league-adjusted), recent form trend (last 3 starts ERA delta vs season), velocity drop penalty when last start had velo decline, home/road and day/night splits, opposing lineup xwOBA vs handedness, and pitcher H2H history vs the opposing team regressed at 50 TBF. The model also factors bullpen quality (in case Shohei Ohtani exits early), park factors, weather, and umpire tendencies.
Where can I find past picks involving Shohei Ohtani?
Every pick made on a Shohei Ohtani start is logged on this page and at /track-record.html. Each row in the table above links to a permanent record with the model's full signals at pick time, the result, and the ESPN comparison probability.
How accurate are the predictions on Shohei Ohtani?
Per-pitcher accuracy isn't a large enough sample yet to publish individually. Aggregate accuracy lives on the /track-record.html page with per-bucket calibration. The Brier score audit catches pitcher-specific calibration drift if it appears.
Are these picks free?
Yes. Every pick on Bookie Bullies is free. No signup, no paywall. Full model output (probability, EV, recommended stake) is visible on every pick page.