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Spencer Arrighetti Picks Coverage

Every Spencer Arrighetti start we've projected and graded in the last 120 days. Current team: Houston Astros. Recent ERA: 3.81. Record: 7-4. Each start links to the matchup's permanent record with our model's prediction and signals at the time.

Starts Tracked
11
Picks On Team
4
W-L-P
3-1-0
Hit Rate
75.0%

All Starts Covered

DateMatchupERA @ StartPick Result
2026-07-03Houston Astros vs Tampa Bay Rays3.81
2026-06-26Houston Astros @ Detroit Tigers4.00
2026-06-08Houston Astros @ Los Angeles Angels2.21
2026-06-03Houston Astros vs Pittsburgh Pirates1.94
2026-05-28Houston Astros @ Texas Rangers1.34
2026-05-22Houston Astros @ Chicago Cubs1.32W
2026-05-15Houston Astros vs Texas Rangers1.88W
2026-05-09Houston Astros @ Cincinnati Reds1.88L
2026-05-02Houston Astros @ Boston Red Sox1.96W
2026-04-26Houston Astros vs New York Yankees2.00
2026-04-20Houston Astros @ Cleveland Guardians2.45

About This Page

The table above lists every Spencer Arrighetti start that appeared in Bookie Bullies' daily MLB coverage. ERA shown is what the model used at that point in the season, not a retroactive value. The "Pick Result" column reflects whether a pick we made on Spencer Arrighetti's team won, lost, or pushed. Pushes count separately. "Pending" means the game hasn't graded yet.

All Houston Astros picks → See our full model in the methodology or aggregate record on the track record page.

Frequently Asked Questions

How does the model rate Spencer Arrighetti's starts?
Spencer Arrighetti's starts are scored by FIP and xFIP (park-and-league-adjusted), recent form trend (last 3 starts ERA delta vs season), velocity drop penalty when last start had velo decline, home/road and day/night splits, opposing lineup xwOBA vs handedness, and pitcher H2H history vs the opposing team regressed at 50 TBF. The model also factors bullpen quality (in case Spencer Arrighetti exits early), park factors, weather, and umpire tendencies.
Where can I find past picks involving Spencer Arrighetti?
Every pick made on a Spencer Arrighetti start is logged on this page and at /track-record.html. Each row in the table above links to a permanent record with the model's full signals at pick time, the result, and the ESPN comparison probability.
How accurate are the predictions on Spencer Arrighetti?
Per-pitcher accuracy isn't a large enough sample yet to publish individually. Aggregate accuracy lives on the /track-record.html page with per-bucket calibration. The Brier score audit catches pitcher-specific calibration drift if it appears.
Are these picks free?
Yes. Every pick on Bookie Bullies is free. No signup, no paywall. Full model output (probability, EV, recommended stake) is visible on every pick page.