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Spencer Arrighetti Picks Coverage

Every Spencer Arrighetti start we've projected and graded in the last 120 days. Current team: Toronto Blue Jays. Recent ERA: 5.12. Record: 7-9. Each start links to the matchup's permanent record with our model's prediction and signals at the time.

Starts Tracked
8
Picks On Team
0
W-L-P
0-0-0
Hit Rate
n/a

All Starts Covered

DateMatchupERA @ StartPick Result
2026-09-06Toronto Blue Jays @ Kansas City Royals5.12—
2026-08-27Toronto Blue Jays vs Kansas City Royals4.73—
2026-07-24Houston Astros @ Chicago White Sox4.60—
2026-07-18Houston Astros vs Baltimore Orioles4.34—
2026-07-08Houston Astros @ Washington Nationals4.50—
2026-07-03Houston Astros vs Tampa Bay Rays3.81—
2026-06-26Houston Astros @ Detroit Tigers4.00—
2026-06-08Houston Astros @ Los Angeles Angels2.21—

About This Page

The table above lists every Spencer Arrighetti start that appeared in Bookie Bullies' daily MLB coverage. ERA shown is what the model used at that point in the season, not a retroactive value. The "Pick Result" column reflects whether a pick we made on Spencer Arrighetti's team won, lost, or pushed. Pushes count separately. "Pending" means the game hasn't graded yet.

All Toronto Blue Jays picks → See our full model in the methodology or aggregate record on the track record page.

Frequently Asked Questions

How does the model rate Spencer Arrighetti's starts?
Spencer Arrighetti's starts are scored by FIP and xFIP (park-and-league-adjusted), recent form trend (last 3 starts ERA delta vs season), velocity drop penalty when last start had velo decline, home/road and day/night splits, opposing lineup xwOBA vs handedness, and pitcher H2H history vs the opposing team regressed at 50 TBF. The model also factors bullpen quality (in case Spencer Arrighetti exits early), park factors, weather, and umpire tendencies.
Where can I find past picks involving Spencer Arrighetti?
Every pick made on a Spencer Arrighetti start is logged on this page and at /track-record.html. Each row in the table above links to a permanent record with the model's full signals at pick time, the result, and the ESPN comparison probability.
How accurate are the predictions on Spencer Arrighetti?
Per-pitcher accuracy isn't a large enough sample yet to publish individually. Aggregate accuracy lives on the /track-record.html page. We do not run a separate audit for pitcher-specific calibration drift if it appears.
Are these picks free?
Yes. Every pick on Bookie Bullies is free. No signup, no paywall. Full model output (probability, and EV plus recommended stake where a price is published) is visible on every pick page.