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Stephen Kolek Picks Coverage

Every Stephen Kolek start we've projected and graded in the last 120 days. Current team: Kansas City Royals. Recent ERA: 4.5. Record: 4-3. Each start links to the matchup's permanent record with our model's prediction and signals at the time.

Starts Tracked
9
Picks On Team
3
W-L-P
2-1-0
Hit Rate
66.7%

All Starts Covered

DateMatchupERA @ StartPick Result
2026-07-02Kansas City Royals vs Tampa Bay Rays4.50—
2026-06-26Kansas City Royals @ Chicago White Sox4.15—
2026-06-09Kansas City Royals vs Texas Rangers3.14—
2026-06-03Kansas City Royals @ Cincinnati Reds3.32—
2026-05-29Kansas City Royals @ Texas Rangers3.48—
2026-05-23Kansas City Royals vs Seattle Mariners2.77—
2026-05-17Kansas City Royals @ St. Louis Cardinals4.24W
2026-05-12Kansas City Royals @ Chicago White Sox6.75L
2026-05-05Kansas City Royals vs Cleveland Guardians—W

About This Page

The table above lists every Stephen Kolek start that appeared in Bookie Bullies' daily MLB coverage. ERA shown is what the model used at that point in the season, not a retroactive value. The "Pick Result" column reflects whether a pick we made on Stephen Kolek's team won, lost, or pushed. Pushes count separately. "Pending" means the game hasn't graded yet.

All Kansas City Royals picks → See our full model in the methodology or aggregate record on the track record page.

Frequently Asked Questions

How does the model rate Stephen Kolek's starts?
Stephen Kolek's starts are scored by FIP and xFIP (park-and-league-adjusted), recent form trend (last 3 starts ERA delta vs season), velocity drop penalty when last start had velo decline, home/road and day/night splits, opposing lineup xwOBA vs handedness, and pitcher H2H history vs the opposing team regressed at 50 TBF. The model also factors bullpen quality (in case Stephen Kolek exits early), park factors, weather, and umpire tendencies.
Where can I find past picks involving Stephen Kolek?
Every pick made on a Stephen Kolek start is logged on this page and at /track-record.html. Each row in the table above links to a permanent record with the model's full signals at pick time, the result, and the ESPN comparison probability.
How accurate are the predictions on Stephen Kolek?
Per-pitcher accuracy isn't a large enough sample yet to publish individually. Aggregate accuracy lives on the /track-record.html page with per-bucket calibration. The Brier score audit catches pitcher-specific calibration drift if it appears.
Are these picks free?
Yes. Every pick on Bookie Bullies is free. No signup, no paywall. Full model output (probability, EV, recommended stake) is visible on every pick page.