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Trevor Rogers Picks Coverage

Every Trevor Rogers start we've projected and graded in the last 120 days. Current team: Baltimore Orioles. Recent ERA: 4.7. Record: 6-7. Each start links to the matchup's permanent record with our model's prediction and signals at the time.

Starts Tracked
10
Picks On Team
2
W-L-P
0-2-0
Hit Rate
0.0%

All Starts Covered

DateMatchupERA @ StartPick Result
2026-07-03Baltimore Orioles @ Cincinnati Reds4.70
2026-06-26Baltimore Orioles vs Washington Nationals4.99
2026-06-09Baltimore Orioles vs Seattle Mariners6.15
2026-06-04Baltimore Orioles @ Boston Red Sox6.29
2026-05-29Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays6.84
2026-05-24Baltimore Orioles vs Detroit Tigers6.96
2026-05-18Baltimore Orioles @ Tampa Bay Rays6.87L
2026-05-12Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees5.77L
2026-04-25Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox4.75
2026-04-19Baltimore Orioles @ Cleveland Guardians3.04

About This Page

The table above lists every Trevor Rogers start that appeared in Bookie Bullies' daily MLB coverage. ERA shown is what the model used at that point in the season, not a retroactive value. The "Pick Result" column reflects whether a pick we made on Trevor Rogers's team won, lost, or pushed. Pushes count separately. "Pending" means the game hasn't graded yet.

All Baltimore Orioles picks → See our full model in the methodology or aggregate record on the track record page.

Frequently Asked Questions

How does the model rate Trevor Rogers's starts?
Trevor Rogers's starts are scored by FIP and xFIP (park-and-league-adjusted), recent form trend (last 3 starts ERA delta vs season), velocity drop penalty when last start had velo decline, home/road and day/night splits, opposing lineup xwOBA vs handedness, and pitcher H2H history vs the opposing team regressed at 50 TBF. The model also factors bullpen quality (in case Trevor Rogers exits early), park factors, weather, and umpire tendencies.
Where can I find past picks involving Trevor Rogers?
Every pick made on a Trevor Rogers start is logged on this page and at /track-record.html. Each row in the table above links to a permanent record with the model's full signals at pick time, the result, and the ESPN comparison probability.
How accurate are the predictions on Trevor Rogers?
Per-pitcher accuracy isn't a large enough sample yet to publish individually. Aggregate accuracy lives on the /track-record.html page with per-bucket calibration. The Brier score audit catches pitcher-specific calibration drift if it appears.
Are these picks free?
Yes. Every pick on Bookie Bullies is free. No signup, no paywall. Full model output (probability, EV, recommended stake) is visible on every pick page.