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Tyler Mahle Picks Coverage

Every Tyler Mahle start we've projected and graded in the last 120 days. Current team: San Francisco Giants. Recent ERA: 5.67. Record: 1-8. Each start links to the matchup's permanent record with our model's prediction and signals at the time.

Starts Tracked
10
Picks On Team
4
W-L-P
1-1-0
Hit Rate
50.0%

All Starts Covered

DateMatchupERA @ StartPick Result
2026-07-05San Francisco Giants @ Colorado Rockies5.67
2026-06-29San Francisco Giants @ Arizona Diamondbacks5.67
2026-06-24San Francisco Giants vs Oakland Athletics5.49
2026-05-26San Francisco Giants vs Arizona Diamondbacks6.04
2026-05-20San Francisco Giants @ Arizona Diamondbacks6.10PENDING
2026-05-15San Francisco Giants @ Oakland Athletics5.18L
2026-05-10San Francisco Giants vs Pittsburgh Pirates5.18W
2026-05-03San Francisco Giants @ Tampa Bay Rays5.00PENDING
2026-04-28San Francisco Giants @ Philadelphia Phillies5.26
2026-04-22San Francisco Giants vs Los Angeles Dodgers5.26

About This Page

The table above lists every Tyler Mahle start that appeared in Bookie Bullies' daily MLB coverage. ERA shown is what the model used at that point in the season, not a retroactive value. The "Pick Result" column reflects whether a pick we made on Tyler Mahle's team won, lost, or pushed. Pushes count separately. "Pending" means the game hasn't graded yet.

All San Francisco Giants picks → See our full model in the methodology or aggregate record on the track record page.

Frequently Asked Questions

How does the model rate Tyler Mahle's starts?
Tyler Mahle's starts are scored by FIP and xFIP (park-and-league-adjusted), recent form trend (last 3 starts ERA delta vs season), velocity drop penalty when last start had velo decline, home/road and day/night splits, opposing lineup xwOBA vs handedness, and pitcher H2H history vs the opposing team regressed at 50 TBF. The model also factors bullpen quality (in case Tyler Mahle exits early), park factors, weather, and umpire tendencies.
Where can I find past picks involving Tyler Mahle?
Every pick made on a Tyler Mahle start is logged on this page and at /track-record.html. Each row in the table above links to a permanent record with the model's full signals at pick time, the result, and the ESPN comparison probability.
How accurate are the predictions on Tyler Mahle?
Per-pitcher accuracy isn't a large enough sample yet to publish individually. Aggregate accuracy lives on the /track-record.html page with per-bucket calibration. The Brier score audit catches pitcher-specific calibration drift if it appears.
Are these picks free?
Yes. Every pick on Bookie Bullies is free. No signup, no paywall. Full model output (probability, EV, recommended stake) is visible on every pick page.