Boston Red Sox Run Line at -180
Tampa Bay Rays at Boston Red Sox · MLB Baseball
The Matchup
This was a MLB Baseball game between the Tampa Bay Rays and the Boston Red Sox. Played at Fenway Park. Starting pitchers: Nick Martinez for TB, Payton Tolle for BOS. Market: Run Line. Pick was logged at the time the lines were posted; every model probability and signal value frozen on this page reflects that moment, not retrospective data.
Why We Took This Side
- Signal snapshot was not captured on this pick (legacy entry).
Each driver above is a numerical signal feed-in to the model at pick time. Strongly positive values support the side we took; near-zero values mean that input had no opinion. Read more in the methodology.
Looking Back
The Boston Red Sox pick lost. The model's signals pointed this way at the time, but baseball — and probability — both reserve the right to disagree on any given night. The pitching matchup at the time showed a FIP edge of +1.22 (lower is better) in favor of the home starter.
Other picks from 2026-05-10
- New York Knicks Moneyline Won
- Washington Nationals Moneyline Lost
- Baltimore Orioles Moneyline Won
- Philadelphia Phillies Moneyline Won
- Tampa Bay Rays Moneyline Won