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The day's 5★ plays, ranked best to worst. Moneylines must clear a positive-EV test against the offered price. First-inning (NRFI/YRFI) plays qualify on the model's own gate instead: a high model probability (see the Track Record page for graded results).
Every game on today's slate. Stars show CONVICTION (win probability and value against the price combined) so a heavy favorite with no betting value can show 90%+ win probability but only 3★. Click "Why this pick" on any row.
This week's most likely college football winners, ranked best to worst. Each pick is the betting favorite, and win % is the sportsbook's own moneyline with the house cut removed. We tested our ratings against simply taking the favorite on two seasons of games, and the favorite picked more winners. These are straight-up winner picks, not value bets: the price column shows what each one costs.
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This week's most likely NFL winners, ranked best to worst. Win % comes from the sportsbook line, which already accounts for each team's projected starting quarterback. These are straight-up winner picks, not value bets: on a big favorite, the price already reflects the odds. Every pick is graded in public.
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All matchups today with our pick, the projected score, both starting pitchers, and the market line. Filter or search below.
Today's edge, season ledger, hot/cold markers. Filter bar above swaps these per sport.
Make your own picks and get scored on the same ledger we are. Every pick is stamped before first pitch and graded off the box score.
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