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The model's top picks: 5★ confidence (≥65% win probability) with positive EV at the offered price. All sports. Ranked best to worst by edge.
Every game on today's slate. Stars show model win-probability confidence: 5★ ≥ 65%, 4★ ≥ 60%, 3★ ≥ 55%, 2★ ≥ 50%. Click "Why this pick" on any row.
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The model gives this pick a 72.9% win probability — meaning the model favors this side to win. But at -303, the market is asking you to pay a price that implies an even higher win rate. EV -3.0% means: even if the model is right, you'd lose money long-term at this price. Pass.
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The model gives this pick a 70.0% win probability — meaning the model favors this side to win. But at -258, the market is asking you to pay a price that implies an even higher win rate. EV -2.8% means: even if the model is right, you'd lose money long-term at this price. Pass.
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The model gives this pick a 61.7% win probability — meaning the model favors this side to win. But at -172, the market is asking you to pay a price that implies an even higher win rate. EV -2.4% means: even if the model is right, you'd lose money long-term at this price. Pass.
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The model gives this pick a 61.5% win probability — meaning the model favors this side to win. But at -168, the market is asking you to pay a price that implies an even higher win rate. EV -1.9% means: even if the model is right, you'd lose money long-term at this price. Pass.
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The model gives this pick a 58.8% win probability — meaning the model favors this side to win. But at -156, the market is asking you to pay a price that implies an even higher win rate. EV -3.6% means: even if the model is right, you'd lose money long-term at this price. Pass.
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The model gives this pick a 56.4% win probability — meaning the model favors this side to win. But at -144, the market is asking you to pay a price that implies an even higher win rate. EV -4.4% means: even if the model is right, you'd lose money long-term at this price. Pass.
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The model gives this pick a 56.2% win probability — meaning the model favors this side to win. But at -142, the market is asking you to pay a price that implies an even higher win rate. EV -4.2% means: even if the model is right, you'd lose money long-term at this price. Pass.
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The model gives this pick a 55.2% win probability — meaning the model favors this side to win. But at -136, the market is asking you to pay a price that implies an even higher win rate. EV -4.3% means: even if the model is right, you'd lose money long-term at this price. Pass.
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The model gives this pick a 55.1% win probability — meaning the model favors this side to win. But at -135, the market is asking you to pay a price that implies an even higher win rate. EV -4.0% means: even if the model is right, you'd lose money long-term at this price. Pass.
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The model gives this pick a 55.0% win probability — meaning the model favors this side to win. But at -136, the market is asking you to pay a price that implies an even higher win rate. EV -4.6% means: even if the model is right, you'd lose money long-term at this price. Pass.
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The model gives this pick a 54.7% win probability — meaning the model favors this side to win. But at -126, the market is asking you to pay a price that implies an even higher win rate. EV -1.9% means: even if the model is right, you'd lose money long-term at this price. Pass.
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The model gives this pick a 54.4% win probability — meaning the model favors this side to win. But at -122, the market is asking you to pay a price that implies an even higher win rate. EV -0.9% means: even if the model is right, you'd lose money long-term at this price. Pass.
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The model gives this pick a 53.6% win probability — meaning the model favors this side to win. But at -126, the market is asking you to pay a price that implies an even higher win rate. EV -3.8% means: even if the model is right, you'd lose money long-term at this price. Pass.
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The model gives this pick a 51.7% win probability — meaning the model favors this side to win. But at -122, the market is asking you to pay a price that implies an even higher win rate. EV -5.9% means: even if the model is right, you'd lose money long-term at this price. Pass.
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The model gives this pick a 50.7% win probability — meaning the model favors this side to win. But at -120, the market is asking you to pay a price that implies an even higher win rate. EV -7.0% means: even if the model is right, you'd lose money long-term at this price. Pass.
All matchups today with our pick, the projected score, both starting pitchers, and the market line. Filter or search below.
A handful of times each season, the model finds a single pick where the signal is so strong it's worth its own treatment. Full sabermetric writeup, line-shopping breakdown, Kelly stake sizing, and live-line monitoring through first pitch. Premium tier, early access via the waitlist.
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Today's edge, season ledger, hot/cold markers. Filter bar above swaps these per sport.
