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The day's top-tier plays (locks), ranked best to worst. Moneylines must clear a positive-EV test against the offered price. First-inning (NRFI/YRFI) plays qualify on the model's own gate instead: a high model probability (see the Track Record page for graded results).
Every game on today's slate. Stars show how often picks like this have actually won: 1★ under 55%, 2★ 55 to 60%, 3★ 60 to 65%, 4★ 65 to 70%, 5★ 70% or better. Stars say nothing about price, so check the odds too. Click "Why this pick" on any row.
This week's college football spread picks, next kickoffs first. Every cover % is the one our testing supports, and they all sit near 50%: our spread ratings have not beaten the closing line yet, so treat these as coin-flip leans, not value bets. Over/under picks are paused after an 18-31 first weekend; the posted total is shown instead.
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This week's most likely NFL winners, ranked best to worst. Win % comes from the sportsbook line, which already accounts for each team's projected starting quarterback. These are straight-up winner picks, not value bets: on a big favorite, the price already reflects the odds. Every pick is graded in public.
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All matchups today with our pick, the projected score, both starting pitchers, and the market line. Filter or search below.
Today's edge, season ledger, hot/cold markers. Filter bar above swaps these per sport.
Make your own picks and get scored on the same ledger we are. Every pick is stamped before first pitch and graded off the box score.
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