Toronto Blue Jays Run Line at +159
Toronto Blue Jays at Detroit Tigers · MLB Baseball
The Matchup
This was a MLB Baseball game between the Toronto Blue Jays and the Detroit Tigers. Played at Comerica Park. Starting pitchers: Kevin Gausman for TOR, Jack Flaherty for DET. Market: Run Line. Pick was logged at the time the lines were posted; every model probability and signal value frozen on this page reflects that moment, not retrospective data.
Why We Took This Side
- FIP edge (home starter quality): +5.89
- Rolling wOBA (offense form): +0.27
- Outs Above Average (defense): -0.48
Each driver above is a numerical signal feed-in to the model at pick time. Strongly positive values support the side we took; near-zero values mean that input had no opinion. Read more in the methodology.
Looking Back
The Toronto Blue Jays pick cashed. The model's edge on this matchup played out as projected. The pitching matchup at the time showed a FIP edge of -3.08 (lower is better) in favor of the home starter.
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