Detroit Tigers Moneyline at -112
Los Angeles Angels at Detroit Tigers · MLB Baseball
The Matchup
This was a MLB Baseball game between the Los Angeles Angels and the Detroit Tigers. Played at Comerica Park. Starting pitchers: Jose Soriano for LAA, Casey Mize for DET. Market: Moneyline. Pick was logged at the time the lines were posted; every model probability and signal value frozen on this page reflects that moment, not retrospective data.
Why We Took This Side
- FIP edge (home starter quality): +3.64
- Platoon edge: +0.60
- External: ESPN matchup predictor 56.5% on our side
Each driver above is a numerical signal feed-in to the model at pick time. Strongly positive values support the side we took; near-zero values mean that input had no opinion. Read more in the methodology.
Looking Back
The Detroit Tigers pick cashed. The model's edge on this matchup played out as projected. The pitching matchup at the time showed a FIP edge of -0.67 (lower is better) in favor of the home starter. For comparison, ESPN's matchup predictor gave this side a 56.5% chance. Our model had it at 0.0%. Closing line value: -2.4pp (below the closing market). Positive CLV is the leading indicator long-term, regardless of this single result.
Other picks from 2026-05-27
- New York Liberty Moneyline Won
- Portland Fire Moneyline Won
- Atlanta Dream Moneyline Lost
- WAS Moneyline Won
- Chicago Sky Moneyline Lost