NRFI Moneyline
Pittsburgh Pirates at Philadelphia Phillies · MLB Baseball
The Matchup
This was a MLB Baseball game between the Pittsburgh Pirates and the Philadelphia Phillies. Played at Citizens Bank Park. Starting pitchers: Jared Jones for PIT, Alan Rangel for PHI. Market: Moneyline. Pick was logged at the time the lines were posted; every model probability and signal value frozen on this page reflects that moment, not retrospective data.
Why We Took This Side
- Signal snapshot was not captured on this pick (legacy entry).
Each driver above is a numerical signal feed-in to the model at pick time. Strongly positive values support the side we took; near-zero values mean that input had no opinion. Read more in the methodology.
Looking Back
The NRFI pick cashed. The model's edge on this matchup played out as projected. The pitching matchup at the time showed a FIP edge of -0.46 (lower is better) in favor of the home starter. Bullpen quality favored the home side by 0.19 expected runs.
Other picks from 2026-07-02
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