NRFI Moneyline
Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres · MLB Baseball
The Matchup
This was a MLB Baseball game between the Arizona Diamondbacks and the San Diego Padres. Played at Petco Park. Starting pitchers: Jose Cabrera for ARI, Michael King for SD. Market: Moneyline. Pick was logged at the time the lines were posted; every model probability and signal value frozen on this page reflects that moment, not retrospective data.
Why We Took This Side
- Signal snapshot was not captured on this pick (legacy entry).
Each driver above is a numerical signal feed-in to the model at pick time. Strongly positive values support the side we took; near-zero values mean that input had no opinion. Read more in the methodology.
Looking Back
The NRFI pick lost. The model's signals pointed this way at the time, but baseball — and probability — both reserve the right to disagree on any given night. The pitching matchup at the time showed a FIP edge of +0.34 (lower is better) in favor of the home starter. Bullpen quality favored the home side by 0.34 expected runs.
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