NRFI Moneyline
St. Louis Cardinals at Arizona Diamondbacks · MLB Baseball
The Matchup
This was a MLB Baseball game between the St. Louis Cardinals and the Arizona Diamondbacks. Played at Chase Field (NH). Starting pitchers: Michael McGreevy for STL, Merrill Kelly for ARI. Market: Moneyline. Pick was logged at the time the lines were posted; every model probability and signal value frozen on this page reflects that moment, not retrospective data.
Why We Took This Side
- Signal snapshot was not captured on this pick (legacy entry).
Each driver above is a numerical signal feed-in to the model at pick time. Strongly positive values support the side we took; near-zero values mean that input had no opinion. Read more in the methodology.
Looking Back
The NRFI pick lost. The model's signals pointed this way at the time, but baseball — and probability — both reserve the right to disagree on any given night. The pitching matchup at the time showed a FIP edge of -2.37 (lower is better) in favor of the home starter. Bullpen quality favored the home side by 0.15 expected runs.
Other picks from 2026-07-17
- Indiana Fever Moneyline Won
- Chicago Sky Moneyline Won
- NRFI ML Lost
- YRFI ML Lost
- NRFI ML Won