Arizona Diamondbacks Moneyline
Colorado Rockies at Arizona Diamondbacks · MLB Baseball
The Matchup
This was a MLB Baseball game between the Colorado Rockies and the Arizona Diamondbacks. Played at Chase Field. Starting pitchers: Tomoyuki Sugano for COL, Mitch Bratt for ARI. Market: Moneyline. Pick was logged at the time the lines were posted; every model probability and signal value frozen on this page reflects that moment, not retrospective data.
Why We Took This Side
- FIP edge (home starter quality): +4.13
- Rolling wOBA (offense form): -0.33
- Outs Above Average (defense): +0.62
- External: ESPN matchup predictor 59.1% on our side
Each driver above is a numerical signal feed-in to the model at pick time. Strongly positive values support the side we took; near-zero values mean that input had no opinion. Read more in the methodology.
Looking Back
The Arizona Diamondbacks pick cashed. The model's edge on this matchup played out as projected. The pitching matchup at the time showed a FIP edge of +0.34 (lower is better) in favor of the home starter. For comparison, ESPN's matchup predictor gave this side a 59.1% chance. Our model had it at 57.1%.
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