Houston Astros Moneyline
Los Angeles Angels at Houston Astros · MLB Baseball
The Matchup
This was a MLB Baseball game between the Los Angeles Angels and the Houston Astros. Played at Daikin Park. Starting pitchers: Walbert Urena for LAA, Ethan Pecko for HOU. Market: Moneyline. Pick was logged at the time the lines were posted; every model probability and signal value frozen on this page reflects that moment, not retrospective data.
Why We Took This Side
- FIP edge (home starter quality): +5.20
- Rolling wOBA (offense form): +0.46
- Outs Above Average (defense): +0.34
- External: ESPN matchup predictor 51.9% on our side
Each driver above is a numerical signal feed-in to the model at pick time. Strongly positive values support the side we took; near-zero values mean that input had no opinion. Read more in the methodology.
Looking Back
The Houston Astros pick cashed. The model's edge on this matchup played out as projected. The pitching matchup at the time showed a FIP edge of -1.9 (lower is better) in favor of the home starter. For comparison, ESPN's matchup predictor gave this side a 51.9% chance. Our model had it at 52.7%.
Other picks from 2026-08-19
- Pittsburgh Pirates ML Lost
- San Diego Padres ML Won
- Atlanta Braves ML Lost
- Chicago Cubs ML Lost
- Boston Red Sox ML Lost