New York Yankees Moneyline
New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles · MLB Baseball
The Matchup
This was a MLB Baseball game between the New York Yankees and the Baltimore Orioles. Played at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Starting pitchers: Gerrit Cole for NYY, Kyle Bradish for BAL. Market: Moneyline. Pick was logged at the time the lines were posted; every model probability and signal value frozen on this page reflects that moment, not retrospective data.
Why We Took This Side
- FIP edge (home starter quality): +4.11
- Platoon edge: -0.28
- Outs Above Average (defense): -0.40
- External: ESPN matchup predictor 42.0% on our side
Each driver above is a numerical signal feed-in to the model at pick time. Strongly positive values support the side we took; near-zero values mean that input had no opinion. Read more in the methodology.
Looking Back
The New York Yankees pick cashed. The model's edge on this matchup played out as projected. The pitching matchup at the time showed a FIP edge of +2.11 (lower is better) in favor of the home starter. For comparison, ESPN's matchup predictor gave this side a 42.0% chance. Our model had it at 62.3%.
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