Tampa Bay Rays Moneyline
Tampa Bay Rays at Detroit Tigers · MLB Baseball
The Matchup
This was a MLB Baseball game between the Tampa Bay Rays and the Detroit Tigers. Played at Comerica Park. Starting pitchers: Casey Legumina for TB, Jackson Jobe for DET. Market: Moneyline. Pick was logged at the time the lines were posted; every model probability and signal value frozen on this page reflects that moment, not retrospective data.
Why We Took This Side
- FIP edge (home starter quality): +3.29
- Outs Above Average (defense): -0.36
- Framing edge: -0.56
- External: ESPN matchup predictor 52.1% on our side
Each driver above is a numerical signal feed-in to the model at pick time. Strongly positive values support the side we took; near-zero values mean that input had no opinion. Read more in the methodology.
Looking Back
The Tampa Bay Rays pick cashed. The model's edge on this matchup played out as projected. The pitching matchup at the time showed a FIP edge of +1.02 (lower is better) in favor of the home starter. For comparison, ESPN's matchup predictor gave this side a 52.1% chance. Our model had it at 59.5%.
Other picks from 2026-08-25
- Boston Red Sox ML Won
- Washington Nationals ML Won
- New York Yankees ML Lost
- Toronto Blue Jays ML Won
- Milwaukee Brewers ML Won