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Cade Cavalli Picks Coverage

Every Cade Cavalli start we've projected and graded in the last 120 days. Current team: Washington Nationals. Recent ERA: 3.69. Record: 5-4. Each start links to the matchup's permanent record with our model's prediction and signals at the time.

Starts Tracked
12
Picks On Team
5
W-L-P
0-2-0
Hit Rate
0.0%

All Starts Covered

DateMatchupERA @ StartPick Result
2026-07-05Washington Nationals vs Pittsburgh Pirates3.69
2026-06-30Washington Nationals @ Boston Red Sox3.69
2026-06-25Washington Nationals vs Philadelphia Phillies4.00
2026-06-13Washington Nationals vs Seattle Mariners3.88
2026-06-07Washington Nationals @ Arizona Diamondbacks3.88
2026-06-01Washington Nationals vs Miami Marlins3.62L
2026-05-26Washington Nationals @ Cleveland Guardians3.62
2026-05-21Washington Nationals vs New York Mets3.86PENDING
2026-05-16Washington Nationals vs Baltimore Orioles4.05PENDING
2026-05-10Washington Nationals @ Miami Marlins4.02L
2026-05-05Washington Nationals vs Minnesota Twins3.82PENDING
2026-04-23Washington Nationals vs Atlanta Braves4.01

About This Page

The table above lists every Cade Cavalli start that appeared in Bookie Bullies' daily MLB coverage. ERA shown is what the model used at that point in the season, not a retroactive value. The "Pick Result" column reflects whether a pick we made on Cade Cavalli's team won, lost, or pushed. Pushes count separately. "Pending" means the game hasn't graded yet.

All Washington Nationals picks → See our full model in the methodology or aggregate record on the track record page.

Frequently Asked Questions

How does the model rate Cade Cavalli's starts?
Cade Cavalli's starts are scored by FIP and xFIP (park-and-league-adjusted), recent form trend (last 3 starts ERA delta vs season), velocity drop penalty when last start had velo decline, home/road and day/night splits, opposing lineup xwOBA vs handedness, and pitcher H2H history vs the opposing team regressed at 50 TBF. The model also factors bullpen quality (in case Cade Cavalli exits early), park factors, weather, and umpire tendencies.
Where can I find past picks involving Cade Cavalli?
Every pick made on a Cade Cavalli start is logged on this page and at /track-record.html. Each row in the table above links to a permanent record with the model's full signals at pick time, the result, and the ESPN comparison probability.
How accurate are the predictions on Cade Cavalli?
Per-pitcher accuracy isn't a large enough sample yet to publish individually. Aggregate accuracy lives on the /track-record.html page with per-bucket calibration. The Brier score audit catches pitcher-specific calibration drift if it appears.
Are these picks free?
Yes. Every pick on Bookie Bullies is free. No signup, no paywall. Full model output (probability, EV, recommended stake) is visible on every pick page.