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Chris Paddack Picks Coverage

Every Chris Paddack start we've projected and graded in the last 120 days. Current team: Cincinnati Reds. Recent ERA: 6.9. Record: 0-7. Each start links to the matchup's permanent record with our model's prediction and signals at the time.

Starts Tracked
7
Picks On Team
3
W-L-P
0-1-0
Hit Rate
0.0%

All Starts Covered

DateMatchupERA @ StartPick Result
2026-05-29Cincinnati Reds vs Atlanta Braves6.90—
2026-05-23Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals6.86—
2026-05-22Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals7.07PENDING
2026-05-16Cincinnati Reds @ Cleveland Guardians7.07L
2026-05-03Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies7.63PENDING
2026-04-27Miami Marlins @ Los Angeles Dodgers6.38—
2026-04-21Miami Marlins vs St. Louis Cardinals5.59—

About This Page

The table above lists every Chris Paddack start that appeared in Bookie Bullies' daily MLB coverage. ERA shown is what the model used at that point in the season, not a retroactive value. The "Pick Result" column reflects whether a pick we made on Chris Paddack's team won, lost, or pushed. Pushes count separately. "Pending" means the game hasn't graded yet.

All Cincinnati Reds picks → See our full model in the methodology or aggregate record on the track record page.

Frequently Asked Questions

How does the model rate Chris Paddack's starts?
Chris Paddack's starts are scored by FIP and xFIP (park-and-league-adjusted), recent form trend (last 3 starts ERA delta vs season), velocity drop penalty when last start had velo decline, home/road and day/night splits, opposing lineup xwOBA vs handedness, and pitcher H2H history vs the opposing team regressed at 50 TBF. The model also factors bullpen quality (in case Chris Paddack exits early), park factors, weather, and umpire tendencies.
Where can I find past picks involving Chris Paddack?
Every pick made on a Chris Paddack start is logged on this page and at /track-record.html. Each row in the table above links to a permanent record with the model's full signals at pick time, the result, and the ESPN comparison probability.
How accurate are the predictions on Chris Paddack?
Per-pitcher accuracy isn't a large enough sample yet to publish individually. Aggregate accuracy lives on the /track-record.html page with per-bucket calibration. The Brier score audit catches pitcher-specific calibration drift if it appears.
Are these picks free?
Yes. Every pick on Bookie Bullies is free. No signup, no paywall. Full model output (probability, EV, recommended stake) is visible on every pick page.