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Drew Rasmussen Picks Coverage

Every Drew Rasmussen start we've projected and graded in the last 120 days. Current team: Tampa Bay Rays. Recent ERA: 2.45. Record: 7-4. Each start links to the matchup's permanent record with our model's prediction and signals at the time.

★ STARTING TONIGHT
Drew Rasmussen vs Houston Astros
TB @ HOU · Predicted total: 6.4 runs
View tonight's full pick + edge analysis →
Starts Tracked
11
Picks On Team
3
W-L-P
3-0-0
Hit Rate
100.0%

All Starts Covered

DateMatchupERA @ StartPick Result
2026-07-04Tampa Bay Rays @ Houston Astros2.45
2026-06-28Tampa Bay Rays vs Arizona Diamondbacks2.45
2026-06-22Tampa Bay Rays vs Kansas City Royals2.62
2026-06-10Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox2.71
2026-06-05Tampa Bay Rays @ Miami Marlins3.00
2026-05-30Tampa Bay Rays vs Los Angeles Angels3.36
2026-05-24Tampa Bay Rays @ New York Yankees2.78
2026-05-17Tampa Bay Rays vs Miami Marlins3.19W
2026-05-11Tampa Bay Rays @ Toronto Blue Jays3.16W
2026-05-05Tampa Bay Rays vs Toronto Blue Jays2.64W
2026-04-24Tampa Bay Rays vs Minnesota Twins2.45

About This Page

The table above lists every Drew Rasmussen start that appeared in Bookie Bullies' daily MLB coverage. ERA shown is what the model used at that point in the season, not a retroactive value. The "Pick Result" column reflects whether a pick we made on Drew Rasmussen's team won, lost, or pushed. Pushes count separately. "Pending" means the game hasn't graded yet.

All Tampa Bay Rays picks → See our full model in the methodology or aggregate record on the track record page.

Frequently Asked Questions

How does the model rate Drew Rasmussen's starts?
Drew Rasmussen's starts are scored by FIP and xFIP (park-and-league-adjusted), recent form trend (last 3 starts ERA delta vs season), velocity drop penalty when last start had velo decline, home/road and day/night splits, opposing lineup xwOBA vs handedness, and pitcher H2H history vs the opposing team regressed at 50 TBF. The model also factors bullpen quality (in case Drew Rasmussen exits early), park factors, weather, and umpire tendencies.
Where can I find past picks involving Drew Rasmussen?
Every pick made on a Drew Rasmussen start is logged on this page and at /track-record.html. Each row in the table above links to a permanent record with the model's full signals at pick time, the result, and the ESPN comparison probability.
How accurate are the predictions on Drew Rasmussen?
Per-pitcher accuracy isn't a large enough sample yet to publish individually. Aggregate accuracy lives on the /track-record.html page with per-bucket calibration. The Brier score audit catches pitcher-specific calibration drift if it appears.
Are these picks free?
Yes. Every pick on Bookie Bullies is free. No signup, no paywall. Full model output (probability, EV, recommended stake) is visible on every pick page.