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Framber Valdez Picks Coverage

Every Framber Valdez start we've projected and graded in the last 120 days. Current team: Detroit Tigers. Recent ERA: 4.05. Record: 4-5. Each start links to the matchup's permanent record with our model's prediction and signals at the time.

Starts Tracked
13
Picks On Team
4
W-L-P
1-2-0
Hit Rate
33.3%

All Starts Covered

DateMatchupERA @ StartPick Result
2026-06-27Detroit Tigers vs Houston Astros4.05
2026-06-22Detroit Tigers vs New York Yankees3.91
2026-06-10Detroit Tigers vs Minnesota Twins4.40
2026-06-05Detroit Tigers vs Seattle Mariners4.21
2026-05-30Detroit Tigers @ Chicago White Sox4.39
2026-05-24Detroit Tigers @ Baltimore Orioles4.28W
2026-05-23Detroit Tigers @ Baltimore Orioles4.58PENDING
2026-05-18Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians4.58L
2026-05-13Detroit Tigers @ New York Mets4.32
2026-05-05Detroit Tigers vs Boston Red Sox3.35L
2026-04-30Detroit Tigers @ Atlanta Braves3.35
2026-04-24Detroit Tigers @ Cincinnati Reds3.30
2026-04-19Detroit Tigers @ Boston Red Sox3.75

About This Page

The table above lists every Framber Valdez start that appeared in Bookie Bullies' daily MLB coverage. ERA shown is what the model used at that point in the season, not a retroactive value. The "Pick Result" column reflects whether a pick we made on Framber Valdez's team won, lost, or pushed. Pushes count separately. "Pending" means the game hasn't graded yet.

All Detroit Tigers picks → See our full model in the methodology or aggregate record on the track record page.

Frequently Asked Questions

How does the model rate Framber Valdez's starts?
Framber Valdez's starts are scored by FIP and xFIP (park-and-league-adjusted), recent form trend (last 3 starts ERA delta vs season), velocity drop penalty when last start had velo decline, home/road and day/night splits, opposing lineup xwOBA vs handedness, and pitcher H2H history vs the opposing team regressed at 50 TBF. The model also factors bullpen quality (in case Framber Valdez exits early), park factors, weather, and umpire tendencies.
Where can I find past picks involving Framber Valdez?
Every pick made on a Framber Valdez start is logged on this page and at /track-record.html. Each row in the table above links to a permanent record with the model's full signals at pick time, the result, and the ESPN comparison probability.
How accurate are the predictions on Framber Valdez?
Per-pitcher accuracy isn't a large enough sample yet to publish individually. Aggregate accuracy lives on the /track-record.html page with per-bucket calibration. The Brier score audit catches pitcher-specific calibration drift if it appears.
Are these picks free?
Yes. Every pick on Bookie Bullies is free. No signup, no paywall. Full model output (probability, EV, recommended stake) is visible on every pick page.