Home › MLB Pitchers › Max Fried
● MLB STARTING PITCHER · COVERAGE ARCHIVE

Max Fried Picks Coverage

Every Max Fried start we've projected and graded in the last 120 days. Current team: New York Yankees. Recent ERA: 3.21. Record: 4-3. Each start links to the matchup's permanent record with our model's prediction and signals at the time.

Starts Tracked
5
Picks On Team
3
W-L-P
1-2-0
Hit Rate
33.3%

All Starts Covered

DateMatchupERA @ StartPick Result
2026-05-13New York Yankees @ Baltimore Orioles3.21L
2026-05-08New York Yankees @ Milwaukee Brewers2.91L
2026-05-03New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles2.39W
2026-04-27New York Yankees @ Texas Rangers2.09—
2026-04-22New York Yankees @ Boston Red Sox2.40—

About This Page

The table above lists every Max Fried start that appeared in Bookie Bullies' daily MLB coverage. ERA shown is what the model used at that point in the season, not a retroactive value. The "Pick Result" column reflects whether a pick we made on Max Fried's team won, lost, or pushed. Pushes count separately. "Pending" means the game hasn't graded yet.

All New York Yankees picks → See our full model in the methodology or aggregate record on the track record page.

Frequently Asked Questions

How does the model rate Max Fried's starts?
Max Fried's starts are scored by FIP and xFIP (park-and-league-adjusted), recent form trend (last 3 starts ERA delta vs season), velocity drop penalty when last start had velo decline, home/road and day/night splits, opposing lineup xwOBA vs handedness, and pitcher H2H history vs the opposing team regressed at 50 TBF. The model also factors bullpen quality (in case Max Fried exits early), park factors, weather, and umpire tendencies.
Where can I find past picks involving Max Fried?
Every pick made on a Max Fried start is logged on this page and at /track-record.html. Each row in the table above links to a permanent record with the model's full signals at pick time, the result, and the ESPN comparison probability.
How accurate are the predictions on Max Fried?
Per-pitcher accuracy isn't a large enough sample yet to publish individually. Aggregate accuracy lives on the /track-record.html page with per-bucket calibration. The Brier score audit catches pitcher-specific calibration drift if it appears.
Are these picks free?
Yes. Every pick on Bookie Bullies is free. No signup, no paywall. Full model output (probability, EV, recommended stake) is visible on every pick page.