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Nick Lodolo Picks Coverage

Every Nick Lodolo start we've projected and graded in the last 120 days. Current team: Cincinnati Reds. Recent ERA: 5.05. Record: 2-2. Each start links to the matchup's permanent record with our model's prediction and signals at the time.

Starts Tracked
9
Picks On Team
2
W-L-P
0-2-0
Hit Rate
0.0%

All Starts Covered

DateMatchupERA @ StartPick Result
2026-06-29Cincinnati Reds @ Milwaukee Brewers5.05
2026-06-23Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers5.59
2026-06-12Cincinnati Reds vs Arizona Diamondbacks5.21
2026-06-06Cincinnati Reds @ St. Louis Cardinals5.51
2026-05-31Cincinnati Reds vs Atlanta Braves5.20
2026-05-25Cincinnati Reds @ New York Mets5.57
2026-05-18Cincinnati Reds @ Philadelphia Phillies7.20L
2026-05-13Cincinnati Reds vs Washington Nationals8.68L
2026-05-08Cincinnati Reds vs Houston Astros6.75

About This Page

The table above lists every Nick Lodolo start that appeared in Bookie Bullies' daily MLB coverage. ERA shown is what the model used at that point in the season, not a retroactive value. The "Pick Result" column reflects whether a pick we made on Nick Lodolo's team won, lost, or pushed. Pushes count separately. "Pending" means the game hasn't graded yet.

All Cincinnati Reds picks → See our full model in the methodology or aggregate record on the track record page.

Frequently Asked Questions

How does the model rate Nick Lodolo's starts?
Nick Lodolo's starts are scored by FIP and xFIP (park-and-league-adjusted), recent form trend (last 3 starts ERA delta vs season), velocity drop penalty when last start had velo decline, home/road and day/night splits, opposing lineup xwOBA vs handedness, and pitcher H2H history vs the opposing team regressed at 50 TBF. The model also factors bullpen quality (in case Nick Lodolo exits early), park factors, weather, and umpire tendencies.
Where can I find past picks involving Nick Lodolo?
Every pick made on a Nick Lodolo start is logged on this page and at /track-record.html. Each row in the table above links to a permanent record with the model's full signals at pick time, the result, and the ESPN comparison probability.
How accurate are the predictions on Nick Lodolo?
Per-pitcher accuracy isn't a large enough sample yet to publish individually. Aggregate accuracy lives on the /track-record.html page with per-bucket calibration. The Brier score audit catches pitcher-specific calibration drift if it appears.
Are these picks free?
Yes. Every pick on Bookie Bullies is free. No signup, no paywall. Full model output (probability, EV, recommended stake) is visible on every pick page.