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Shane Baz Picks Coverage

Every Shane Baz start we've projected and graded in the last 120 days. Current team: Baltimore Orioles. Recent ERA: 4.19. Record: 4-8. Each start links to the matchup's permanent record with our model's prediction and signals at the time.

Starts Tracked
12
Picks On Team
3
W-L-P
0-2-0
Hit Rate
0.0%

All Starts Covered

DateMatchupERA @ StartPick Result
2026-06-29Baltimore Orioles vs Chicago White Sox4.19
2026-06-23Baltimore Orioles @ Los Angeles Angels4.31
2026-06-12Baltimore Orioles vs San Diego Padres4.06
2026-06-07Baltimore Orioles @ Toronto Blue Jays4.09
2026-06-02Baltimore Orioles @ Boston Red Sox4.29
2026-05-26Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays4.48
2026-05-20Baltimore Orioles @ Tampa Bay Rays4.87PENDING
2026-05-15Baltimore Orioles @ Washington Nationals5.48L
2026-05-09Baltimore Orioles vs Oakland Athletics5.48L
2026-05-04Baltimore Orioles @ New York Yankees4.50
2026-04-28Baltimore Orioles vs Houston Astros5.08
2026-04-21Baltimore Orioles @ Kansas City Royals4.91

About This Page

The table above lists every Shane Baz start that appeared in Bookie Bullies' daily MLB coverage. ERA shown is what the model used at that point in the season, not a retroactive value. The "Pick Result" column reflects whether a pick we made on Shane Baz's team won, lost, or pushed. Pushes count separately. "Pending" means the game hasn't graded yet.

All Baltimore Orioles picks → See our full model in the methodology or aggregate record on the track record page.

Frequently Asked Questions

How does the model rate Shane Baz's starts?
Shane Baz's starts are scored by FIP and xFIP (park-and-league-adjusted), recent form trend (last 3 starts ERA delta vs season), velocity drop penalty when last start had velo decline, home/road and day/night splits, opposing lineup xwOBA vs handedness, and pitcher H2H history vs the opposing team regressed at 50 TBF. The model also factors bullpen quality (in case Shane Baz exits early), park factors, weather, and umpire tendencies.
Where can I find past picks involving Shane Baz?
Every pick made on a Shane Baz start is logged on this page and at /track-record.html. Each row in the table above links to a permanent record with the model's full signals at pick time, the result, and the ESPN comparison probability.
How accurate are the predictions on Shane Baz?
Per-pitcher accuracy isn't a large enough sample yet to publish individually. Aggregate accuracy lives on the /track-record.html page with per-bucket calibration. The Brier score audit catches pitcher-specific calibration drift if it appears.
Are these picks free?
Yes. Every pick on Bookie Bullies is free. No signup, no paywall. Full model output (probability, EV, recommended stake) is visible on every pick page.