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Troy Melton Picks Coverage

Every Troy Melton start we've projected and graded in the last 120 days. Current team: Detroit Tigers. Recent ERA: 1.82. Record: 5-1. Each start links to the matchup's permanent record with our model's prediction and signals at the time.

★ STARTING TONIGHT
Troy Melton vs Oakland Athletics
ATH @ DET · Predicted total: 9.5 runs
View tonight's full pick + edge analysis →
Starts Tracked
7
Picks On Team
0
W-L-P
0-0-0
Hit Rate
0%

All Starts Covered

DateMatchupERA @ StartPick Result
2026-07-08Detroit Tigers vs Oakland Athletics1.82—
2026-07-01Detroit Tigers @ New York Yankees2.05—
2026-06-25Detroit Tigers vs Houston Astros2.39—
2026-06-09Detroit Tigers vs Minnesota Twins2.81—
2026-06-03Detroit Tigers @ Tampa Bay Rays1.74—
2026-05-29Detroit Tigers @ Chicago White Sox1.42—
2026-05-24Detroit Tigers @ Baltimore Orioles1.59—

About This Page

The table above lists every Troy Melton start that appeared in Bookie Bullies' daily MLB coverage. ERA shown is what the model used at that point in the season, not a retroactive value. The "Pick Result" column reflects whether a pick we made on Troy Melton's team won, lost, or pushed. Pushes count separately. "Pending" means the game hasn't graded yet.

All Detroit Tigers picks → See our full model in the methodology or aggregate record on the track record page.

Frequently Asked Questions

How does the model rate Troy Melton's starts?
Troy Melton's starts are scored by FIP and xFIP (park-and-league-adjusted), recent form trend (last 3 starts ERA delta vs season), velocity drop penalty when last start had velo decline, home/road and day/night splits, opposing lineup xwOBA vs handedness, and pitcher H2H history vs the opposing team regressed at 50 TBF. The model also factors bullpen quality (in case Troy Melton exits early), park factors, weather, and umpire tendencies.
Where can I find past picks involving Troy Melton?
Every pick made on a Troy Melton start is logged on this page and at /track-record.html. Each row in the table above links to a permanent record with the model's full signals at pick time, the result, and the ESPN comparison probability.
How accurate are the predictions on Troy Melton?
Per-pitcher accuracy isn't a large enough sample yet to publish individually. Aggregate accuracy lives on the /track-record.html page with per-bucket calibration. The Brier score audit catches pitcher-specific calibration drift if it appears.
Are these picks free?
Yes. Every pick on Bookie Bullies is free. No signup, no paywall. Full model output (probability, EV, recommended stake) is visible on every pick page.