Cincinnati Reds Run Line at -180
Washington Nationals at Cincinnati Reds · MLB Baseball
The Matchup
This was a MLB Baseball game between the Washington Nationals and the Cincinnati Reds. Played at Great American Ball Park. Starting pitchers: Foster Griffin for WSH, Chase Burns for CIN. Market: Run Line. Pick was logged at the time the lines were posted; every model probability and signal value frozen on this page reflects that moment, not retrospective data.
Why We Took This Side
- FIP edge (home starter quality): +3.29
- Platoon edge: +0.32
- Rolling wOBA (offense form): -0.22
Each driver above is a numerical signal feed-in to the model at pick time. Strongly positive values support the side we took; near-zero values mean that input had no opinion. Read more in the methodology.
Looking Back
The Cincinnati Reds pick cashed. The model's edge on this matchup played out as projected. The pitching matchup at the time showed a FIP edge of +0.67 (lower is better) in favor of the home starter.
Other picks from 2026-05-14
- Vegas Golden Knights Moneyline Won
- Buffalo Sabres Moneyline Lost
- Pittsburgh Pirates Moneyline Won
- Washington Nationals Moneyline Lost
- New York Mets Moneyline Won