Houston Astros Run Line at -180
Texas Rangers at Houston Astros · MLB Baseball
The Matchup
This was a MLB Baseball game between the Texas Rangers and the Houston Astros. Played at Daikin Park. Starting pitchers: Jacob deGrom for TEX, Kai-Wei Teng for HOU. Market: Run Line. Pick was logged at the time the lines were posted; every model probability and signal value frozen on this page reflects that moment, not retrospective data.
Why We Took This Side
- FIP edge (home starter quality): +3.49
- Rolling wOBA (offense form): +0.58
- Framing edge: +0.29
Each driver above is a numerical signal feed-in to the model at pick time. Strongly positive values support the side we took; near-zero values mean that input had no opinion. Read more in the methodology.
Looking Back
The Houston Astros pick cashed. The model's edge on this matchup played out as projected. The pitching matchup at the time showed a FIP edge of -0.41 (lower is better) in favor of the home starter.
Other picks from 2026-05-16
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- Arizona Diamondbacks Run Line Lost
- Chicago White Sox Run Line Won
- Minnesota Twins Run Line Won
- Detroit Tigers Moneyline Lost