Chicago White Sox Run Line at -180
Chicago Cubs at Chicago White Sox · MLB Baseball
The Matchup
This was a MLB Baseball game between the Chicago Cubs and the Chicago White Sox. Played at Rate Field. Starting pitchers: Jameson Taillon for CHC, Davis Martin for CHW. Market: Run Line. Pick was logged at the time the lines were posted; every model probability and signal value frozen on this page reflects that moment, not retrospective data.
Why We Took This Side
- FIP edge (home starter quality): +3.56
- Platoon edge: -0.80
- Rolling wOBA (offense form): -0.23
Each driver above is a numerical signal feed-in to the model at pick time. Strongly positive values support the side we took; near-zero values mean that input had no opinion. Read more in the methodology.
Looking Back
The Chicago White Sox pick cashed. The model's edge on this matchup played out as projected. The pitching matchup at the time showed a FIP edge of +1.02 (lower is better) in favor of the home starter.
Other picks from 2026-05-16
- Montreal Canadiens Moneyline Lost
- Arizona Diamondbacks Run Line Lost
- Minnesota Twins Run Line Won
- Houston Astros Run Line Won
- Detroit Tigers Moneyline Lost