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2026-05-21
● PICK PERMALINK · LOST · 2026-05-21
Phoenix Mercury Moneyline at -125
Los Angeles Sparks at Phoenix Mercury · WNBA Basketball
Result
Lost
Model Prob
55.9%
Odds (American)
-125
The Matchup
This was a WNBA Basketball game between the Los Angeles Sparks and the Phoenix Mercury. Played at Mortgage Matchup Center. Market: Moneyline. Pick was logged at the time the lines were posted; every model probability and signal value frozen on this page reflects that moment, not retrospective data.
Why We Took This Side
- Signal snapshot was not captured on this pick (legacy entry).
Each driver above is a numerical signal feed-in to the model at pick time. Strongly positive values support the side we took; near-zero values mean that input had no opinion. Read more in the methodology.
Looking Back
The Phoenix Mercury pick lost. The model's signals pointed this way at the time, but baseball — and probability — both reserve the right to disagree on any given night.
Other picks from 2026-05-21
- Carolina Hurricanes Moneyline Lost
- Minnesota Lynx Moneyline Won
- New York Mets Total (Over/Under) Lost
- New York Yankees Total (Over/Under) Won
- Detroit Tigers Total (Over/Under) Lost
Browse by Team
Frozen at pick time. Every number on this page (model prob, odds, signals,
expert reference) reflects what was live at the moment the pick was generated. We don't
backfill or massage these pages retroactively. The result column is from the official
league box score. If you spot anything off, email us — we keep these honest because we
have to.