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Sonny Gray Picks Coverage

Every Sonny Gray start we've projected and graded in the last 120 days. Current team: Boston Red Sox. Recent ERA: 2.69. Record: 9-1. Each start links to the matchup's permanent record with our model's prediction and signals at the time.

Starts Tracked
10
Picks On Team
3
W-L-P
2-1-0
Hit Rate
66.7%

All Starts Covered

DateMatchupERA @ StartPick Result
2026-06-28Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees2.69
2026-06-23Boston Red Sox @ Colorado Rockies2.95
2026-06-12Boston Red Sox vs Texas Rangers3.03
2026-06-05Boston Red Sox @ New York Yankees3.20
2026-05-30Boston Red Sox @ Cleveland Guardians3.06
2026-05-24Boston Red Sox vs Minnesota Twins3.27L
2026-05-18Boston Red Sox @ Kansas City Royals2.93W
2026-05-13Boston Red Sox vs Philadelphia Phillies3.18W
2026-05-06Boston Red Sox @ Detroit Tigers4.30
2026-04-20Boston Red Sox vs Detroit Tigers4.30

About This Page

The table above lists every Sonny Gray start that appeared in Bookie Bullies' daily MLB coverage. ERA shown is what the model used at that point in the season, not a retroactive value. The "Pick Result" column reflects whether a pick we made on Sonny Gray's team won, lost, or pushed. Pushes count separately. "Pending" means the game hasn't graded yet.

All Boston Red Sox picks → See our full model in the methodology or aggregate record on the track record page.

Frequently Asked Questions

How does the model rate Sonny Gray's starts?
Sonny Gray's starts are scored by FIP and xFIP (park-and-league-adjusted), recent form trend (last 3 starts ERA delta vs season), velocity drop penalty when last start had velo decline, home/road and day/night splits, opposing lineup xwOBA vs handedness, and pitcher H2H history vs the opposing team regressed at 50 TBF. The model also factors bullpen quality (in case Sonny Gray exits early), park factors, weather, and umpire tendencies.
Where can I find past picks involving Sonny Gray?
Every pick made on a Sonny Gray start is logged on this page and at /track-record.html. Each row in the table above links to a permanent record with the model's full signals at pick time, the result, and the ESPN comparison probability.
How accurate are the predictions on Sonny Gray?
Per-pitcher accuracy isn't a large enough sample yet to publish individually. Aggregate accuracy lives on the /track-record.html page with per-bucket calibration. The Brier score audit catches pitcher-specific calibration drift if it appears.
Are these picks free?
Yes. Every pick on Bookie Bullies is free. No signup, no paywall. Full model output (probability, EV, recommended stake) is visible on every pick page.