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Zac Thornton Picks Coverage

Every Zac Thornton start we've projected and graded in the last 120 days. Current team: New York Mets. Recent ERA: 2.93. Record: 3-4. Each start links to the matchup's permanent record with our model's prediction and signals at the time.

Starts Tracked
9
Picks On Team
0
W-L-P
0-0-0
Hit Rate
0%

All Starts Covered

DateMatchupERA @ StartPick Result
2026-09-05New York Mets vs San Francisco Giants2.93
2026-08-30New York Mets vs Houston Astros2.88
2026-08-25New York Mets vs Milwaukee Brewers3.04
2026-08-18New York Mets vs San Diego Padres2.78
2026-08-12New York Mets @ Atlanta Braves2.52
2026-08-07New York Mets @ Pittsburgh Pirates2.88
2026-08-01New York Mets vs Miami Marlins2.88
2026-07-27New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves2.43
2026-07-21New York Mets @ Milwaukee Brewers1.93

About This Page

The table above lists every Zac Thornton start that appeared in Bookie Bullies' daily MLB coverage. ERA shown is what the model used at that point in the season, not a retroactive value. The "Pick Result" column reflects whether a pick we made on Zac Thornton's team won, lost, or pushed. Pushes count separately. "Pending" means the game hasn't graded yet.

All New York Mets picks → See our full model in the methodology or aggregate record on the track record page.

Frequently Asked Questions

How does the model rate Zac Thornton's starts?
Zac Thornton's starts are scored by FIP and xFIP (park-and-league-adjusted), recent form trend (last 3 starts ERA delta vs season), velocity drop penalty when last start had velo decline, home/road and day/night splits, opposing lineup xwOBA vs handedness, and pitcher H2H history vs the opposing team regressed at 50 TBF. The model also factors bullpen quality (in case Zac Thornton exits early), park factors, weather, and umpire tendencies.
Where can I find past picks involving Zac Thornton?
Every pick made on a Zac Thornton start is logged on this page and at /track-record.html. Each row in the table above links to a permanent record with the model's full signals at pick time, the result, and the ESPN comparison probability.
How accurate are the predictions on Zac Thornton?
Per-pitcher accuracy isn't a large enough sample yet to publish individually. Aggregate accuracy lives on the /track-record.html page with per-bucket calibration. The Brier score audit catches pitcher-specific calibration drift if it appears.
Are these picks free?
Yes. Every pick on Bookie Bullies is free. No signup, no paywall. Full model output (probability, EV, recommended stake) is visible on every pick page.