St. Louis Cardinals Total (Over/Under) at -110
St. Louis Cardinals at Cincinnati Reds · MLB Baseball
The Matchup
This was a MLB Baseball game between the St. Louis Cardinals and the Cincinnati Reds. Played at Great American Ball Park. Starting pitchers: Kyle Leahy for STL, Chris Paddack for CIN. Market: Total (Over/Under). Pick was logged at the time the lines were posted; every model probability and signal value frozen on this page reflects that moment, not retrospective data.
Why We Took This Side
- FIP edge (home starter quality): +3.93
- Framing edge: -0.26
Each driver above is a numerical signal feed-in to the model at pick time. Strongly positive values support the side we took; near-zero values mean that input had no opinion. Read more in the methodology.
Looking Back
The St. Louis Cardinals pick lost. The model's signals pointed this way at the time, but baseball — and probability — both reserve the right to disagree on any given night. The pitching matchup at the time showed a FIP edge of +0.26 (lower is better) in favor of the home starter.
Other picks from 2026-05-22
- Colorado Avalanche Moneyline Lost
- Boston Red Sox Total (Over/Under) Won
- Seattle Mariners Total (Over/Under) Lost
- San Diego Padres Total (Over/Under) Lost
- Houston Astros Total (Over/Under) Lost