● DETROIT TIGERS VS METS · TUESDAY, MAY 12, 2026

Detroit Tigers vs Mets Prediction

Bookie Bullies' AI-assisted prediction for Detroit Tigers vs Mets on Tuesday, May 12, 2026. Made by MarcDuck with the assistance of AI software analyzing 35 factors per game. Pick: NYM.

Detroit Tigers Starter
Jack Flaherty
ERA 5.56 · FIP-eff 5.89
Mets Starter
Freddy Peralta
ERA 3.12 · FIP-eff 3.7

Game Lines + Predictions

Predicted total8.0 R
Market O/U8.0
Market run line-1.5
MoneylineNYM -149
Model pickNYM

Park + Conditions

Venue: Citi Field. Park run factor: 0.95. The model adjusts the predicted total by both the flat park run factor (70% weight) and the hand-aware HR factor (30% weight) to capture park-by-batter-handedness effects on home runs.

Model Drivers

Active drivers behind this pick: sp_era, park. Each driver represents a factor pushing the same direction as the model's pick. More aligned drivers = higher confidence.

How This Prediction Was Made

The pick was made by MarcDuck with the assistance of AI software, not by AI alone. The AI weighs starting pitcher FIP/xFIP, bullpen quality, park factors by handedness, weather, lineup splits, recent form, line movement, and ~25 other factors. MarcDuck reviews the AI's output, refines edge cases (late injury news, narrative-driven line moves, weather updates), and formulates the final pick. Full methodology: /methodology.html.

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